VR Factory (Poland) Performance
| VRF Stock | 0.19 0.02 9.52% |
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.73, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, VR Factory's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VR Factory is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, VR Factory Games has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to validate VR Factory's standard deviation, kurtosis, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if VR Factory Games performance from the past will be repeated at some future date.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days VR Factory Games has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
VRF |
VR Factory Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 24.00 in VR Factory Games on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5.00) from holding VR Factory Games or give up 20.83% of portfolio value over 90 days. VR Factory Games is generating negative expected returns and assumes 4.3178% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 38% of stocks are less volatile than VRF, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
VR Factory Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of VRF Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.19 | 90 days | 0.19 | about 84.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VR Factory to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.3 (This VR Factory Games probability density function shows the probability of VRF Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VR Factory has a beta of 0.73. This entails as returns on the market go up, VR Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VR Factory Games will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VR Factory Games has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VR Factory Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VR Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VR Factory Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VR Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VR Factory Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VR Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VR Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VR Factory Games, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VR Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
VR Factory Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VR Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VR Factory Games can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VR Factory Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VR Factory Games has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| VR Factory Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
About VR Factory Performance
Assessing VR Factory's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into VR Factory's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the VR Factory is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Things to note about VR Factory Games performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about VR Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for VR Factory Games help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VR Factory Games generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| VR Factory Games has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| VR Factory Games has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
- Analyzing VR Factory's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether VR Factory's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining VR Factory's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating VR Factory's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of VR Factory's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of VR Factory's stock. These opinions can provide insight into VR Factory's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for VRF Stock Analysis
When running VR Factory's price analysis, check to measure VR Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VR Factory is operating at the current time. Most of VR Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VR Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VR Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VR Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.