Vanguard Small Cap Index Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VSMAX Fund  USD 130.68  0.22  0.17%   
The entity has a beta of 1.05, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Vanguard Small-cap returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Small-cap is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Expense Ratio Date29th of April 2025
Expense Ratio0.0500
  

Vanguard Small-cap Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,145  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  923.00  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 7.6% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Small Cap Index is currently producing 0.1271% returns and takes up 1.0026% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 9% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Small-cap is expected to generate 1.33 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Vanguard Small-cap Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
130.68
Please note that Vanguard Small-cap's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Vanguard Small Cap has a current Real Value of $110.68 per share. The regular price of the fund is $130.68. We determine the value of Vanguard Small Cap from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Small-cap is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Small-cap's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  130.68 Real  110.68 Hype  106.18 Naive  129.75
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Small-cap's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Small-cap's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
110.68
Real Value
111.68
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Small Cap Index helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Small-cap more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Small-cap's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.82129.27134.72
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.18106.18107.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
128.75129.75130.74
Details

Vanguard Small-cap Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 130.68 90 days 130.68 
about 10.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Small-cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.18 (This Vanguard Small Cap Index probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This entails Vanguard Small Cap Index market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Small-cap is expected to follow. Additionally Vanguard Small Cap Index has an alpha of 0.0574, implying that it can generate a 0.0574 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Small-cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Small-cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.18106.18107.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.56110.68111.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
128.75129.75130.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.82129.27134.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Small-cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Small-cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Small-cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Small Cap.

Vanguard Small-cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Small-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Small-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Small Cap Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Small-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
4.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Vanguard Small-cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Small-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 97.71% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Small-cap Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Small-cap, and Vanguard Small-cap fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Small-cap Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Small-cap has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Small-cap has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Small Cap Index, a broadly diversified index of stocks of small U.S. companies. Vanguard Small is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Vanguard Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Small-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 97.71% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Small-cap's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Small-cap's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Small-cap's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Small-cap's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Small-cap's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Small-cap's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Small-cap security.
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