Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VTMSX Fund  USD 104.36  0.41  0.39%   
The entity has a beta of 1.2, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vanguard Tax-managed will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Tax-managed may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in February 2026.
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Vanguard Tax-managed Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,677  in Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  759.00  from holding Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap or generate 7.84% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap is currently producing 0.1301% returns and takes up 1.1251% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Tax-managed is expected to generate 1.5 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Vanguard Tax-managed Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
104.36
Please note that Vanguard Tax-managed's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Tax Managed has a current Real Value of $94.29 per share. The regular price of the fund is $104.36. We determine the value of Vanguard Tax Managed from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Tax-managed is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Tax-managed's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  104.36 Real  94.29 Hype  104.77 Naive  106.44
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Tax-managed's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Tax-managed's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
94.29
Real Value
115.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Tax-managed more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Tax-managed's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.73102.42107.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.64104.77105.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
105.31106.44107.57
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap extending back to April 14, 1999. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Vanguard Tax-managed stands at 104.36, as last reported on the 27th of January, with the highest price reaching 104.36 and the lowest price hitting 104.36 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vanguard Tax-managed Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 104.36 90 days 104.36 
about 6.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Tax-managed to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.59 (This Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vanguard Tax-managed will likely underperform. Additionally Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0197, implying that it can generate a 0.0197 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Tax-managed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Tax-managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Tax Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Tax-managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.64104.77105.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
93.1694.29115.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
105.31106.44107.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.73102.42107.12
Details

Vanguard Tax-managed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Tax-managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Tax-managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Tax Managed Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Tax-managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.20
σ
Overall volatility
3.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Vanguard Tax-managed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Tax-managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Tax Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 100.34% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Tax-managed Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Tax-managed, and Vanguard Tax-managed fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Tax-managed Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Tax-managed has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Tax-managed has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund purchases stocks included in the SP SmallCap 600 Index an index that is made up of the stocks of small-capitalization U.S. companies. The fund advisor uses statistical methods to sample the index, aiming to ensure capital gains and income tax efficiency while approximating other characteristics and the performance of the index.

Things to note about Vanguard Tax Managed performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Tax-managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Tax Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 100.34% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Tax-managed's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Tax-managed's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Tax-managed's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Tax-managed's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Tax-managed's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Tax-managed's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Tax-managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Tax-managed security.
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