Shenzhen Shenbao (China) Price Prediction

000019 Stock   7.19  0.10  1.41%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Shenzhen Shenbao's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shenzhen Shenbao, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shenzhen Shenbao's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shenzhen Shenbao Industrial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shenzhen Shenbao's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.089
Wall Street Target Price
14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Using Shenzhen Shenbao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shenzhen Shenbao Industrial from the perspective of Shenzhen Shenbao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shenzhen Shenbao to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shenzhen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shenzhen Shenbao after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 7.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shenzhen Shenbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.245.718.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.907.369.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.496.887.27
Details

Shenzhen Shenbao After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shenzhen Shenbao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shenzhen Shenbao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shenzhen Shenbao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shenzhen Shenbao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shenzhen Shenbao's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shenzhen Shenbao's historical news coverage. Shenzhen Shenbao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.72 and 9.66, respectively. We have considered Shenzhen Shenbao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.19
7.19
After-hype Price
9.66
Upside
Shenzhen Shenbao is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shenzhen Shenbao Ind is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shenzhen Shenbao Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shenzhen Shenbao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shenzhen Shenbao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shenzhen Shenbao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35 
2.47
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.19
7.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Shenzhen Shenbao Hype Timeline

Shenzhen Shenbao Ind is presently traded for 7.19on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Shenzhen is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shenzhen Shenbao is about 2839.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.22. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.71. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Shenzhen Shenbao Ind last dividend was issued on the 19th of June 2024. The entity had 11:10 split on the 28th of June 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Shenzhen Shenbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shenzhen Shenbao Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shenzhen Shenbao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shenzhen Shenbao's future price movements. Getting to know how Shenzhen Shenbao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shenzhen Shenbao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601615Ming Yang Smart 0.13 2 per month 2.31  0.18  7.78 (4.15) 18.14 
159681159681 0.00 0 per month 3.01  0.12  8.99 (4.00) 36.32 
159005159005(0.41)3 per month 0.00 (4.67) 0.01  0.00  0.14 
300729Loctek Ergonomic Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.84  0.09  6.27 (3.09) 24.80 
516220516220 0.00 0 per month 1.68  0.07  5.26 (3.03) 17.74 
002096Hunan Nanling Industrial 0.00 0 per month 2.38  0.01  4.30 (3.86) 13.27 
300243Shandong Ruifeng Chemical(0.50)1 per month 3.62  0.10  10.41 (4.71) 31.77 
603269Jiangsu Seagull Cooling 0.00 0 per month 2.73  0.07  5.98 (4.63) 16.65 
300049Inner Mongolia Furui 0.30 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.57 (7.51) 28.09 
6886183onedata Co Ltd 1.35 7 per month 4.07  0.04  9.39 (6.04) 29.46 

Shenzhen Shenbao Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shenzhen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shenzhen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shenzhen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shenzhen Shenbao Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shenzhen Shenbao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shenzhen Shenbao Industrial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Shenbao based on analysis of Shenzhen Shenbao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shenzhen Shenbao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shenzhen Shenbao's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shenzhen Shenbao

The number of cover stories for Shenzhen Shenbao depends on current market conditions and Shenzhen Shenbao's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shenzhen Shenbao is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shenzhen Shenbao's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Shenzhen Shenbao Short Properties

Shenzhen Shenbao's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shenzhen Shenbao's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shenzhen Shenbao Industrial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shenzhen Shenbao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shenzhen Shenbao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Complementary Tools for Shenzhen Stock analysis

When running Shenzhen Shenbao's price analysis, check to measure Shenzhen Shenbao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shenzhen Shenbao is operating at the current time. Most of Shenzhen Shenbao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shenzhen Shenbao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shenzhen Shenbao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shenzhen Shenbao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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