Shantui Construction (China) Price Prediction
| 000680 Stock | 10.10 0.20 2.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.276 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.63 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8 | Wall Street Target Price 8.81 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.249 |
Using Shantui Construction hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shantui Construction Machinery from the perspective of Shantui Construction response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shantui Construction to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shantui because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shantui Construction after-hype prediction price | CNY 9.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Shantui |
Shantui Construction After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shantui Construction at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shantui Construction or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shantui Construction, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shantui Construction Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shantui Construction's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shantui Construction's historical news coverage. Shantui Construction's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.12 and 12.64, respectively. We have considered Shantui Construction's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shantui Construction is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shantui Construction is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shantui Construction Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shantui Construction is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shantui Construction backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shantui Construction, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 3.26 | 0.72 | 0.06 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.10 | 9.38 | 7.13 |
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Shantui Construction Hype Timeline
Shantui Construction is presently traded for 10.10on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Shantui is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -7.13%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Shantui Construction is about 3810.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.16. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Shantui Construction was presently reported as 4.02. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2024. Shantui Construction had 15:10 split on the 28th of June 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Shantui Construction Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shantui Construction Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shantui Construction's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shantui Construction's future price movements. Getting to know how Shantui Construction's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shantui Construction may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 300841 | Chengdu Kanghua Biological | (1.73) | 1 per month | 3.41 | 0.03 | 4.85 | (5.63) | 32.68 | |
| 603392 | Beijing Wantai Biological | 1.40 | 1 per month | 2.03 | 0.02 | 3.90 | (3.21) | 16.51 | |
| 688137 | Suzhou Novoprotein Scientific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.60 | 0.05 | 5.14 | (3.13) | 22.24 | |
| 601600 | Aluminum Corp of | 0.46 | 5 per month | 2.69 | 0.07 | 6.09 | (3.93) | 17.74 | |
| 300364 | COL Digital Publishing | (0.52) | 1 per month | 4.27 | 0.12 | 9.53 | (7.32) | 34.75 | |
| 001299 | Shaanxi Meineng Clean | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.07 | 0.06 | 4.14 | (3.42) | 15.29 | |
| 000995 | Gansu Huangtai Wine marketing | 2.02 | 1 per month | 4.01 | 0.12 | 10.00 | (6.74) | 20.01 | |
| 600223 | Lushang Property Co | 0.08 | 1 per month | 2.36 | 0.02 | 4.58 | (3.11) | 16.41 | |
| 605168 | Threes Company Media | (1.00) | 2 per month | 3.14 | 0.1 | 8.18 | (5.78) | 19.99 |
Shantui Construction Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shantui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shantui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shantui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shantui Construction Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shantui Construction stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shantui Construction Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shantui Construction based on analysis of Shantui Construction hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shantui Construction's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shantui Construction's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Shantui Construction
The number of cover stories for Shantui Construction depends on current market conditions and Shantui Construction's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shantui Construction is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shantui Construction's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Shantui Construction Short Properties
Shantui Construction's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shantui Construction's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shantui Construction Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shantui Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shantui Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Shantui Stock analysis
When running Shantui Construction's price analysis, check to measure Shantui Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shantui Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Shantui Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shantui Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shantui Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shantui Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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