Weichai Heavy (China) Price Prediction
| 000880 Stock | 11.84 0.94 7.36% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.068 | Wall Street Target Price 30.74 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Weichai Heavy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Weichai Heavy Machinery from the perspective of Weichai Heavy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Weichai Heavy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Weichai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Weichai Heavy after-hype prediction price | CNY 12.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Weichai |
Weichai Heavy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Weichai Heavy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Weichai Heavy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Weichai Heavy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Weichai Heavy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Weichai Heavy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Weichai Heavy's historical news coverage. Weichai Heavy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.75 and 16.63, respectively. We have considered Weichai Heavy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Weichai Heavy is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Weichai Heavy Machinery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Weichai Heavy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Weichai Heavy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Weichai Heavy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Weichai Heavy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 3.94 | 0.85 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.84 | 12.69 | 7.18 |
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Weichai Heavy Hype Timeline
Weichai Heavy Machinery is presently traded for 11.84on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.85, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Weichai is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 7.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Weichai Heavy is about 15322.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.82. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Weichai Heavy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Weichai Heavy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Weichai Heavy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Weichai Heavy's future price movements. Getting to know how Weichai Heavy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Weichai Heavy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002238 | Shenzhen Topway Video | (0.07) | 1 per month | 3.78 | 0.09 | 4.42 | (6.70) | 20.06 | |
| 000638 | Vanfund Urban Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.89 | 0.18 | 6.42 | (4.38) | 18.86 | |
| 603115 | Nantong Haixing Electronics | (0.29) | 1 per month | 1.60 | 0.16 | 5.11 | (2.27) | 15.98 | |
| 002021 | Zoje Resources Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.16 | 10.04 | (3.15) | 20.19 | |
| 002121 | Shenzhen Clou Electronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.45 | 0.1 | 6.42 | (3.19) | 19.21 | |
| 603002 | Epoxy Base Electronic | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.94 | 0.06 | 4.36 | (4.60) | 19.89 | |
| 600901 | Jiangsu Financial Leasing | 0.15 | 1 per month | 2.48 | 0.01 | 3.83 | (3.60) | 18.16 |
Weichai Heavy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Weichai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Weichai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Weichai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Weichai Heavy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Weichai Heavy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Weichai Heavy Machinery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Weichai Heavy based on analysis of Weichai Heavy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Weichai Heavy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Weichai Heavy's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Weichai Heavy
The number of cover stories for Weichai Heavy depends on current market conditions and Weichai Heavy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Weichai Heavy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Weichai Heavy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Weichai Heavy Short Properties
Weichai Heavy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Weichai Heavy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Weichai Heavy Machinery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Weichai Heavy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weichai Heavy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 331.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Weichai Stock analysis
When running Weichai Heavy's price analysis, check to measure Weichai Heavy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weichai Heavy is operating at the current time. Most of Weichai Heavy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weichai Heavy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weichai Heavy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weichai Heavy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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