Advanced Technology (China) Price Prediction

000969 Stock   13.15  0.96  7.88%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Advanced Technology's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Advanced, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

78

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Advanced Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Advanced Technology Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Advanced Technology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.547
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.41
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.44
Wall Street Target Price
10.95
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.062
Using Advanced Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advanced Technology Materials from the perspective of Advanced Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Advanced Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Advanced because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Advanced Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 13.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Advanced Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6813.9417.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8613.1216.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advanced Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advanced Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advanced Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Advanced Technology.

Advanced Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Advanced Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Advanced Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Advanced Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Advanced Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Advanced Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Advanced Technology's historical news coverage. Advanced Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.84 and 16.36, respectively. We have considered Advanced Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.15
13.10
After-hype Price
16.36
Upside
Advanced Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Advanced Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Advanced Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Advanced Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advanced Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Advanced Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.89 
3.26
  0.05 
  0.09 
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.15
13.10
0.38 
5,433  
Notes

Advanced Technology Hype Timeline

Advanced Technology is presently traded for 13.15on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Advanced is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Advanced Technology is about 3206.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.06. About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Advanced Technology was presently reported as 5.21. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. Advanced Technology last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2024. The entity had 17:10 split on the 28th of April 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Advanced Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Advanced Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Advanced Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Advanced Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Advanced Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Advanced Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Advanced Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Advanced price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advanced using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advanced charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Advanced Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Advanced Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Advanced Technology Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advanced Technology based on analysis of Advanced Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Advanced Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Advanced Technology's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Advanced Technology

The number of cover stories for Advanced Technology depends on current market conditions and Advanced Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Advanced Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Advanced Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Advanced Technology Short Properties

Advanced Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Advanced Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Advanced Technology Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Advanced Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Complementary Tools for Advanced Stock analysis

When running Advanced Technology's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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