TongFu Microelectronics (China) Price Prediction
| 002156 Stock | 29.66 2.23 6.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
81
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.842 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.79 | Wall Street Target Price 26.06 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.06 |
Using TongFu Microelectronics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TongFu Microelectronics Co from the perspective of TongFu Microelectronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TongFu Microelectronics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TongFu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TongFu Microelectronics after-hype prediction price | CNY 29.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TongFu |
TongFu Microelectronics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TongFu Microelectronics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TongFu Microelectronics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TongFu Microelectronics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TongFu Microelectronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TongFu Microelectronics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TongFu Microelectronics' historical news coverage. TongFu Microelectronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.10 and 34.22, respectively. We have considered TongFu Microelectronics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TongFu Microelectronics is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TongFu Microelectronics is based on 3 months time horizon.
TongFu Microelectronics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TongFu Microelectronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TongFu Microelectronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TongFu Microelectronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.83 | 4.56 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.66 | 29.66 | 0.00 |
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TongFu Microelectronics Hype Timeline
TongFu Microelectronics is presently traded for 29.66on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.18. TongFu is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.83%. %. The volatility of related hype on TongFu Microelectronics is about 2140.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.84. About 23.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of TongFu Microelectronics was presently reported as 9.53. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of June 2024. TongFu Microelectronics had 13:10 split on the 31st of May 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out TongFu Microelectronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TongFu Microelectronics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TongFu Microelectronics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TongFu Microelectronics' future price movements. Getting to know how TongFu Microelectronics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TongFu Microelectronics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 605259 | Lutian Machinery Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.09 | 3.47 | (3.13) | 14.98 | |
| 001289 | China Longyuan Power | (0.50) | 2 per month | 2.53 | (0.02) | 4.14 | (3.30) | 16.59 | |
| 603201 | Changshu Tongrun Auto | 1.90 | 1 per month | 2.86 | 0.08 | 8.36 | (4.93) | 17.36 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 600236 | Guangxi Guiguan Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.80 | (2.30) | 13.85 | |
| 605198 | Yantai North Andre | 0.60 | 2 per month | 2.56 | 0.05 | 5.11 | (4.14) | 19.98 | |
| 600025 | Huaneng Lancang River | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.34 | (3.79) | 10.45 | |
| 601998 | China Citic Bank | (0.05) | 2 per month | 2.05 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.06) | 13.33 | |
| 601298 | Qingdao Port International | 0.13 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.87 | (4.97) | 14.11 |
TongFu Microelectronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TongFu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TongFu using various technical indicators. When you analyze TongFu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TongFu Microelectronics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TongFu Microelectronics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TongFu Microelectronics Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TongFu Microelectronics based on analysis of TongFu Microelectronics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TongFu Microelectronics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TongFu Microelectronics's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TongFu Microelectronics
The number of cover stories for TongFu Microelectronics depends on current market conditions and TongFu Microelectronics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TongFu Microelectronics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TongFu Microelectronics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TongFu Microelectronics Short Properties
TongFu Microelectronics' future price predictability will typically decrease when TongFu Microelectronics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TongFu Microelectronics Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TongFu Microelectronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TongFu Microelectronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for TongFu Stock analysis
When running TongFu Microelectronics' price analysis, check to measure TongFu Microelectronics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TongFu Microelectronics is operating at the current time. Most of TongFu Microelectronics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TongFu Microelectronics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TongFu Microelectronics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TongFu Microelectronics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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