Xiamen Jihong (China) Price Prediction

002803 Stock   15.21  0.34  2.19%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Xiamen Jihong's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Xiamen, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

72

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Xiamen Jihong's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Xiamen Jihong Package, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Xiamen Jihong's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Wall Street Target Price
20.78
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.19)
Using Xiamen Jihong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xiamen Jihong Package from the perspective of Xiamen Jihong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xiamen Jihong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xiamen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Xiamen Jihong after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 15.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Xiamen Jihong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1511.7015.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6315.1718.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Xiamen Jihong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Xiamen Jihong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xiamen Jihong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xiamen Jihong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Xiamen Jihong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Xiamen Jihong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xiamen Jihong's historical news coverage. Xiamen Jihong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.92 and 19.02, respectively. We have considered Xiamen Jihong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.21
15.47
After-hype Price
19.02
Upside
Xiamen Jihong is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xiamen Jihong Package is based on 3 months time horizon.

Xiamen Jihong Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xiamen Jihong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xiamen Jihong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xiamen Jihong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.82 
3.52
  0.08 
  0.43 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.21
15.47
1.71 
3,520  
Notes

Xiamen Jihong Hype Timeline

Xiamen Jihong Package is presently traded for 15.21on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.43. Xiamen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.71%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.82%. The volatility of related hype on Xiamen Jihong is about 678.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.78. The company reported the revenue of 6.69 B. Net Income was 345.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.98 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Xiamen Jihong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Xiamen Jihong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Xiamen Jihong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xiamen Jihong's future price movements. Getting to know how Xiamen Jihong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xiamen Jihong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
002027Focus Media Information(0.12)1 per month 1.82  0.07  5.09 (3.38) 15.43 
600455ButOne Information Corp 0.33 1 per month 3.28  0.15  6.79 (5.46) 19.75 
603019Dawning Information Industry(4.06)1 per month 2.34  0.22  9.99 (5.63) 17.07 
600744Datang HuaYin Electric(0.07)1 per month 2.39  0.04  3.58 (2.88) 19.72 
000889ZJBC Information Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.43  0.14  4.15 (4.50) 10.12 
900903Dazhong Transportation Group 0.00 1 per month 2.46  0.09  5.56 (5.00) 14.79 
603357Anhui Transport Consulting 0.29 1 per month 2.72  0.02  4.07 (3.98) 16.77 

Xiamen Jihong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Xiamen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xiamen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xiamen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Xiamen Jihong Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Xiamen Jihong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xiamen Jihong Package, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xiamen Jihong based on analysis of Xiamen Jihong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xiamen Jihong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xiamen Jihong's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Xiamen Jihong

The number of cover stories for Xiamen Jihong depends on current market conditions and Xiamen Jihong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xiamen Jihong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xiamen Jihong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Xiamen Jihong Short Properties

Xiamen Jihong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xiamen Jihong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xiamen Jihong Package often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xiamen Jihong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xiamen Jihong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding385 M
Dividends Paid182.1 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.56
Shares Float208.3 M

Complementary Tools for Xiamen Stock analysis

When running Xiamen Jihong's price analysis, check to measure Xiamen Jihong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xiamen Jihong is operating at the current time. Most of Xiamen Jihong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xiamen Jihong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xiamen Jihong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xiamen Jihong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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