Guangzhou Ruoyuchen (China) Price Prediction

003010 Stock   19.07  0.91  4.55%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Guangzhou, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Information, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.006
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.546
Using Guangzhou Ruoyuchen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Information from the perspective of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangzhou Ruoyuchen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangzhou because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 19.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0715.0719.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2320.2324.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0316.1521.27
Details

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangzhou Ruoyuchen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's historical news coverage. Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.35 and 23.35, respectively. We have considered Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.07
19.35
After-hype Price
23.35
Upside
Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangzhou Ruoyuchen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangzhou Ruoyuchen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.94 
3.96
  0.27 
  0.02 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.07
19.35
1.47 
1,366  
Notes

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Hype Timeline

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is presently traded for 19.07on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Guangzhou is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.47%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.94%. The volatility of related hype on Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is about 21323.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.09. The company reported the revenue of 1.37 B. Net Income was 54.29 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 405.18 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's future price movements. Getting to know how Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangzhou Ruoyuchen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600583Offshore Oil Engineering(0.04)3 per month 2.09 (0.06) 3.63 (3.28) 14.63 
600498Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies 0.30 5 per month 2.32  0.09  4.93 (4.17) 16.52 
600373Chinese Universe Publishing(0.17)3 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.56 (4.02) 16.64 
600685CSSC Offshore Marine(0.02)2 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.93 (4.33) 15.71 
603226Vohringer Home Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.29  0.19  4.73 (3.43) 17.25 
600467Shandong Homey Aquatic 0.11 1 per month 3.09  0.13  10.00 (5.94) 20.21 
603727Bomesc Offshore Engineering(0.05)1 per month 2.43  0.01  4.52 (3.07) 19.11 

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangzhou price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangzhou using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangzhou charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Information, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen based on analysis of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guangzhou Ruoyuchen

The number of cover stories for Guangzhou Ruoyuchen depends on current market conditions and Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Short Properties

Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen Information often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.3 M
Dividends Paid31.7 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.3
Shares Float71.5 M

Complementary Tools for Guangzhou Stock analysis

When running Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's price analysis, check to measure Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangzhou Ruoyuchen is operating at the current time. Most of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangzhou Ruoyuchen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangzhou Ruoyuchen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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