Maccura Biotechnology (China) Price Prediction

300463 Stock   13.84  0.72  4.95%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Maccura Biotechnology's the stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Maccura, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Maccura Biotechnology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Maccura Biotechnology Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Maccura Biotechnology's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Wall Street Target Price
13.79
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
Using Maccura Biotechnology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maccura Biotechnology Co from the perspective of Maccura Biotechnology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Maccura Biotechnology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Maccura because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Maccura Biotechnology after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 13.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Maccura Biotechnology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2411.5614.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1014.4317.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Maccura Biotechnology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Maccura Biotechnology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Maccura Biotechnology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Maccura Biotechnology.

Maccura Biotechnology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Maccura Biotechnology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maccura Biotechnology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maccura Biotechnology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Maccura Biotechnology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Maccura Biotechnology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maccura Biotechnology's historical news coverage. Maccura Biotechnology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.51 and 17.15, respectively. We have considered Maccura Biotechnology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.84
13.83
After-hype Price
17.15
Upside
Maccura Biotechnology is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maccura Biotechnology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Maccura Biotechnology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maccura Biotechnology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maccura Biotechnology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maccura Biotechnology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
3.30
  0.01 
  0.14 
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.84
13.83
0.07 
11,000  
Notes

Maccura Biotechnology Hype Timeline

Maccura Biotechnology is presently traded for 13.84on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Maccura is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Maccura Biotechnology is about 898.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.98. About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Maccura Biotechnology last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2024. The entity had 30:10 split on the 8th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Maccura Biotechnology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Maccura Biotechnology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Maccura Biotechnology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maccura Biotechnology's future price movements. Getting to know how Maccura Biotechnology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maccura Biotechnology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
688363Bloomage Biotechnology Corp 0.50 1 per month 0.00 (0.03) 9.45 (4.80) 34.68 
002688Jinhe Biotechnology Co 0.00 0 per month 1.82  0.05  4.05 (3.46) 11.97 
300463Maccura Biotechnology Co(0.03)2 per month 2.42  0.05  5.05 (3.75) 22.67 
603983Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology 1.96 1 per month 2.32  0.06  5.93 (5.13) 15.94 
002177Guangzhou KingTeller Technology 0.00 0 per month 3.94  0.12  8.64 (6.63) 20.03 
002516Kuangda Technology Group 0.00 0 per month 2.26  0.15  8.28 (4.01) 16.92 
600545Saurer Intelligent Technology 0.14 2 per month 2.69  0.13  7.47 (4.11) 20.24 

Maccura Biotechnology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Maccura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maccura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maccura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Maccura Biotechnology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Maccura Biotechnology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Maccura Biotechnology Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Maccura Biotechnology based on analysis of Maccura Biotechnology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Maccura Biotechnology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Maccura Biotechnology's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Maccura Biotechnology

The number of cover stories for Maccura Biotechnology depends on current market conditions and Maccura Biotechnology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maccura Biotechnology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maccura Biotechnology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Maccura Biotechnology Short Properties

Maccura Biotechnology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Maccura Biotechnology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Maccura Biotechnology Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Maccura Biotechnology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maccura Biotechnology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding612.5 M

Complementary Tools for Maccura Stock analysis

When running Maccura Biotechnology's price analysis, check to measure Maccura Biotechnology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maccura Biotechnology is operating at the current time. Most of Maccura Biotechnology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maccura Biotechnology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maccura Biotechnology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maccura Biotechnology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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