Kangxin New (China) Price Prediction

600076 Stock   2.20  0.08  3.51%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Kangxin New's share price is above 70 as of 23rd of November 2024. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Kangxin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kangxin New's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kangxin New Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kangxin New's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.814
Using Kangxin New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kangxin New Materials from the perspective of Kangxin New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kangxin New to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kangxin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kangxin New after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 2.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kangxin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.045.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.175.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kangxin New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kangxin New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kangxin New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kangxin New Materials.

Kangxin New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kangxin New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kangxin New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kangxin New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kangxin New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kangxin New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kangxin New's historical news coverage. Kangxin New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.62, respectively. We have considered Kangxin New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.20
2.23
After-hype Price
5.62
Upside
Kangxin New is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kangxin New Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kangxin New Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kangxin New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kangxin New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kangxin New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.84 
3.39
  0.03 
  0.24 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.20
2.23
1.36 
8,475  
Notes

Kangxin New Hype Timeline

Kangxin New Materials is presently traded for 2.20on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Kangxin is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on Kangxin New is about 1203.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.44. The company reported the revenue of 246.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (297.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 48.76 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Kangxin New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kangxin New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kangxin New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kangxin New's future price movements. Getting to know how Kangxin New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kangxin New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kangxin New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kangxin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kangxin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kangxin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kangxin New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kangxin New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kangxin New Materials, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kangxin New based on analysis of Kangxin New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kangxin New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kangxin New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kangxin New

The number of cover stories for Kangxin New depends on current market conditions and Kangxin New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kangxin New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kangxin New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Kangxin New Short Properties

Kangxin New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kangxin New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kangxin New Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kangxin New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kangxin New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Complementary Tools for Kangxin Stock analysis

When running Kangxin New's price analysis, check to measure Kangxin New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kangxin New is operating at the current time. Most of Kangxin New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kangxin New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kangxin New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kangxin New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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