CITIC Metal (China) Price Prediction
| 601061 Stock | 7.80 0.34 4.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.189 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
Using CITIC Metal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CITIC Metal Co from the perspective of CITIC Metal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CITIC Metal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CITIC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CITIC Metal after-hype prediction price | CNY 7.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CITIC |
CITIC Metal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CITIC Metal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CITIC Metal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CITIC Metal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CITIC Metal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CITIC Metal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CITIC Metal's historical news coverage. CITIC Metal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.53 and 10.05, respectively. We have considered CITIC Metal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CITIC Metal is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CITIC Metal is based on 3 months time horizon.
CITIC Metal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CITIC Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CITIC Metal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CITIC Metal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.24 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.80 | 7.79 | 0.13 |
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CITIC Metal Hype Timeline
CITIC Metal is presently traded for 7.80on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CITIC is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on CITIC Metal is about 17230.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.80. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. CITIC Metal last dividend was issued on the 8th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out CITIC Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CITIC Metal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CITIC Metal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CITIC Metal's future price movements. Getting to know how CITIC Metal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CITIC Metal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601899 | Zijin Mining Group | 0.21 | 2 per month | 2.14 | (0.03) | 3.35 | (3.39) | 10.10 | |
| 600309 | Wanhua Chemical Group | 0.26 | 2 per month | 2.23 | (0.02) | 3.92 | (3.47) | 16.38 | |
| 600019 | Baoshan Iron Steel | 0.01 | 3 per month | 2.14 | 0.0005 | 4.80 | (2.68) | 17.37 | |
| 600547 | Shandong Gold Mining | (0.35) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.52 | (3.29) | 12.15 | |
| 002493 | Rongsheng Petrochemical Co | (0.06) | 3 per month | 2.07 | (0) | 4.12 | (3.38) | 15.52 | |
| 600010 | Inner Mongolia BaoTou | 0.03 | 2 per month | 2.27 | 0.12 | 7.46 | (4.00) | 19.48 | |
| 002460 | Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.15 | 0.14 | 9.99 | (5.78) | 20.00 | |
| 603260 | Hoshine Silicon Ind | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.56 | 0.09 | 4.90 | (4.13) | 17.89 | |
| 600160 | Zhejiang Juhua Co | 0.21 | 1 per month | 2.42 | 0.04 | 5.26 | (4.85) | 14.99 | |
| 000807 | Yunnan Aluminium Co | (0.18) | 1 per month | 2.27 | 0.07 | 4.73 | (3.27) | 15.53 |
CITIC Metal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CITIC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CITIC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CITIC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CITIC Metal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CITIC Metal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CITIC Metal Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CITIC Metal based on analysis of CITIC Metal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CITIC Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CITIC Metal's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CITIC Metal
The number of cover stories for CITIC Metal depends on current market conditions and CITIC Metal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CITIC Metal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CITIC Metal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for CITIC Stock analysis
When running CITIC Metal's price analysis, check to measure CITIC Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CITIC Metal is operating at the current time. Most of CITIC Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CITIC Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CITIC Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CITIC Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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