Changchun Engley (China) Price Prediction
| 601279 Stock | 4.11 0.06 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
Using Changchun Engley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Changchun Engley Automobile from the perspective of Changchun Engley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Changchun Engley to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Changchun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Changchun Engley after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Changchun |
Changchun Engley After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Changchun Engley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Changchun Engley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Changchun Engley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Changchun Engley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Changchun Engley's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Changchun Engley's historical news coverage. Changchun Engley's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.04 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Changchun Engley's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Changchun Engley is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Changchun Engley Aut is based on 3 months time horizon.
Changchun Engley Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Changchun Engley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Changchun Engley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Changchun Engley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 3.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.11 | 4.14 | 0.73 |
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Changchun Engley Hype Timeline
Changchun Engley Aut is presently traded for 4.11on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Changchun is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Changchun Engley is about 5081.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.14. The company reported the revenue of 5.32 B. Net Income was 101.5 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 612.56 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Changchun Engley Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Changchun Engley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Changchun Engley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Changchun Engley's future price movements. Getting to know how Changchun Engley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Changchun Engley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 002594 | BYD Co Ltd | 0.45 | 2 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 5.74 | (3.34) | 14.84 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.0005 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | (0.33) | 2 per month | 1.48 | (0.06) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.06) | 2 per month | 2.40 | (0) | 5.32 | (3.57) | 17.45 |
Changchun Engley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Changchun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Changchun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Changchun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Changchun Engley Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Changchun Engley stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Changchun Engley Automobile, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Changchun Engley based on analysis of Changchun Engley hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Changchun Engley's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Changchun Engley's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Changchun Engley
The number of cover stories for Changchun Engley depends on current market conditions and Changchun Engley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Changchun Engley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Changchun Engley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Changchun Engley Short Properties
Changchun Engley's future price predictability will typically decrease when Changchun Engley's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Changchun Engley Automobile often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Changchun Engley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Changchun Engley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Changchun Stock analysis
When running Changchun Engley's price analysis, check to measure Changchun Engley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Changchun Engley is operating at the current time. Most of Changchun Engley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Changchun Engley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Changchun Engley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Changchun Engley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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