Shanghai Putailai (China) Price Prediction

603659 Stock   19.93  0.04  0.20%   
As of 1st of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Shanghai Putailai's share price is at 56. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Shanghai Putailai, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shanghai Putailai's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shanghai Putailai New, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shanghai Putailai's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.119
Wall Street Target Price
18.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Using Shanghai Putailai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanghai Putailai New from the perspective of Shanghai Putailai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shanghai Putailai to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shanghai because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shanghai Putailai after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 19.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Shanghai Putailai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2314.9521.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.5619.2824.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanghai Putailai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanghai Putailai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanghai Putailai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanghai Putailai New.

Shanghai Putailai After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shanghai Putailai at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shanghai Putailai or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shanghai Putailai, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Shanghai Putailai Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shanghai Putailai's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shanghai Putailai's historical news coverage. Shanghai Putailai's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.18 and 24.62, respectively. We have considered Shanghai Putailai's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.93
19.90
After-hype Price
24.62
Upside
Shanghai Putailai is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shanghai Putailai New is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shanghai Putailai Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shanghai Putailai is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shanghai Putailai backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shanghai Putailai, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.10 
4.72
  0.03 
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.93
19.90
0.15 
15,733  
Notes

Shanghai Putailai Hype Timeline

Shanghai Putailai New is presently traded for 19.93on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Shanghai is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.1%. The volatility of related hype on Shanghai Putailai is about 17980.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.96. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Shanghai Putailai was presently reported as 8.76. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2024. Shanghai Putailai New had 1.45:1 split on the 9th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Shanghai Putailai Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shanghai Putailai Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shanghai Putailai's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shanghai Putailai's future price movements. Getting to know how Shanghai Putailai's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shanghai Putailai may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
301439Weihai Honglin Electronic 0.00 0 per month 2.49  0.08  4.12 (4.11) 21.33 
600666Aurora Optoelectronics Co 0.00 0 per month 3.30  0.15  10.20 (6.87) 20.02 
002119Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics 0.90 2 per month 2.83  0.13  6.53 (5.31) 19.30 
688469Semiconductor Manufacturing Electronics(0.35)2 per month 2.61  0.16  6.56 (3.80) 28.40 
603115Nantong Haixing Electronics(0.29)1 per month 1.62  0.19  5.11 (2.33) 15.98 
603045Fuda Alloy Materials 0.00 0 per month 2.21  0.16  4.75 (4.22) 15.68 
301059Jinsanjiang Silicon Material(0.05)1 per month 3.16  0.09  9.62 (5.04) 28.11 
002575Guangdong Qunxing Toys 0.00 0 per month 3.45  0.19  7.01 (6.01) 16.84 

Shanghai Putailai Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shanghai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanghai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanghai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shanghai Putailai Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shanghai Putailai stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shanghai Putailai New, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shanghai Putailai based on analysis of Shanghai Putailai hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shanghai Putailai's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shanghai Putailai's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shanghai Putailai

The number of cover stories for Shanghai Putailai depends on current market conditions and Shanghai Putailai's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shanghai Putailai is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shanghai Putailai's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Shanghai Putailai Short Properties

Shanghai Putailai's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shanghai Putailai's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shanghai Putailai New often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shanghai Putailai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Putailai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Dividends Paid720.9 M

Complementary Tools for Shanghai Stock analysis

When running Shanghai Putailai's price analysis, check to measure Shanghai Putailai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shanghai Putailai is operating at the current time. Most of Shanghai Putailai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shanghai Putailai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shanghai Putailai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shanghai Putailai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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