Allied Machinery (China) Price Prediction
| 605060 Stock | 16.59 1.12 6.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Wall Street Target Price 34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
Using Allied Machinery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allied Machinery Co from the perspective of Allied Machinery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Allied Machinery to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Allied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Allied Machinery after-hype prediction price | CNY 17.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Allied |
Allied Machinery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Allied Machinery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Allied Machinery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Allied Machinery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Allied Machinery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Allied Machinery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Allied Machinery's historical news coverage. Allied Machinery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.10 and 20.04, respectively. We have considered Allied Machinery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Allied Machinery is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Allied Machinery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Allied Machinery Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Allied Machinery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allied Machinery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Allied Machinery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 2.97 | 0.48 | 0.14 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.59 | 17.07 | 2.89 |
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Allied Machinery Hype Timeline
Allied Machinery is presently traded for 16.59on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Allied is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.07 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 2.89%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Allied Machinery is about 1215.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.73. Allied Machinery Co has accumulated 90.03 M in total debt. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Allied Machinery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Allied Machinery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Allied Machinery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Allied Machinery's future price movements. Getting to know how Allied Machinery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Allied Machinery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 000913 | Zhejiang Qianjiang Motorcycle | 1.03 | 1 per month | 2.66 | 0.05 | 5.53 | (4.05) | 20.00 | |
| 000980 | Zotye Automobile Co | 0.04 | 1 per month | 3.40 | 0.16 | 10.00 | (6.28) | 20.19 | |
| 002682 | Fujian Longzhou Transportation | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.82 | 0.08 | 5.07 | (4.97) | 18.65 | |
| 002454 | Songz Automobile Air | 0.30 | 1 per month | 2.01 | 0.12 | 4.14 | (2.75) | 15.98 | |
| 600600 | Tsingtao Brewery Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.03 | 8.61 | (4.04) | 18.38 | |
| 603357 | Anhui Transport Consulting | 0.29 | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.05 | 4.07 | (3.84) | 16.77 | |
| 900903 | Dazhong Transportation Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.49 | 0.14 | 5.56 | (5.00) | 14.79 |
Allied Machinery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Allied Machinery Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Allied Machinery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Allied Machinery Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allied Machinery based on analysis of Allied Machinery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Allied Machinery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Allied Machinery's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Allied Machinery
The number of cover stories for Allied Machinery depends on current market conditions and Allied Machinery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Allied Machinery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Allied Machinery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Allied Machinery Short Properties
Allied Machinery's future price predictability will typically decrease when Allied Machinery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Allied Machinery Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Allied Machinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allied Machinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 241.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Allied Stock analysis
When running Allied Machinery's price analysis, check to measure Allied Machinery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allied Machinery is operating at the current time. Most of Allied Machinery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allied Machinery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allied Machinery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allied Machinery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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