Lutian Machinery (China) Price Prediction
| 605259 Stock | 15.20 0.48 3.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.198 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.479 |
Using Lutian Machinery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lutian Machinery Co from the perspective of Lutian Machinery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lutian Machinery to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lutian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lutian Machinery after-hype prediction price | CNY 15.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lutian |
Lutian Machinery After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lutian Machinery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lutian Machinery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lutian Machinery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lutian Machinery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lutian Machinery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lutian Machinery's historical news coverage. Lutian Machinery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.80 and 17.60, respectively. We have considered Lutian Machinery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lutian Machinery is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lutian Machinery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lutian Machinery Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lutian Machinery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lutian Machinery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lutian Machinery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.20 | 15.20 | 0.00 |
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Lutian Machinery Hype Timeline
Lutian Machinery is presently traded for 15.20on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.14. Lutian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lutian Machinery is about 677.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.34. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.59. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Lutian Machinery last dividend was issued on the 1st of July 2024. The entity had 1.4:1 split on the 1st of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Lutian Machinery Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lutian Machinery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lutian Machinery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lutian Machinery's future price movements. Getting to know how Lutian Machinery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lutian Machinery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688525 | Biwin Storage Technology | 1.30 | 3 per month | 3.17 | 0.04 | 8.32 | (5.41) | 28.33 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | 0.04 | 2 per month | 1.58 | (0.06) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.76 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 | |
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601288 | Agricultural Bank of | (0.15) | 1 per month | 1.97 | (0.06) | 3.21 | (3.89) | 8.24 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 600036 | China Merchants Bank | 1.26 | 1 per month | 1.72 | 0.04 | 4.65 | (2.56) | 13.83 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.83 | 0.11 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 |
Lutian Machinery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lutian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lutian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lutian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lutian Machinery Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lutian Machinery stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lutian Machinery Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lutian Machinery based on analysis of Lutian Machinery hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lutian Machinery's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lutian Machinery's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lutian Machinery
The number of cover stories for Lutian Machinery depends on current market conditions and Lutian Machinery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lutian Machinery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lutian Machinery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Lutian Machinery Short Properties
Lutian Machinery's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lutian Machinery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lutian Machinery Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lutian Machinery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lutian Machinery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Lutian Stock analysis
When running Lutian Machinery's price analysis, check to measure Lutian Machinery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lutian Machinery is operating at the current time. Most of Lutian Machinery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lutian Machinery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lutian Machinery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lutian Machinery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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