Absa (South Africa) Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15,817 15,818 18,975 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 17,594 17,595 17,596 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 16,760 17,157 17,553 Details

Absa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Absa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Absa Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.04	1.03	0.00	0.00	0 Events / Month	0 Events / Month	In 5 to 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
17,250	17,250	0.00	0.00   Notes

Absa Hype Timeline

Absa Group is presently traded for 17,250on Johannesburg Exchange of South Africa. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Absa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Absa is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17,250. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Absa Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 24.15. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Absa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Absa Related Hype Analysis

Absa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Absa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Absa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Absa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Absa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Absa Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Absa based on analysis of Absa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Absa depends on current market conditions and Absa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Absa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Absa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Absa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Absa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Absa Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Absa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Absa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Absa's price analysis, check to measure Absa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Absa is operating at the current time. Most of Absa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Absa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Absa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Absa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.