Agf Management Limited Stock Price Prediction
| AGF-B Stock | CAD 10.74 0.14 1.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6012 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5402 | Wall Street Target Price 12.0714 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.36 |
Using AGF Management hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGF Management Limited from the perspective of AGF Management response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGF Management to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AGF Management after-hype prediction price | CAD 10.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGF |
AGF Management After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AGF Management at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGF Management or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AGF Management, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGF Management Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AGF Management's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGF Management's historical news coverage. AGF Management's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.79 and 12.75, respectively. We have considered AGF Management's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AGF Management is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGF Management is based on 3 months time horizon.
AGF Management Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGF Management is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGF Management backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGF Management, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 1.98 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.74 | 10.77 | 0.28 |
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AGF Management Hype Timeline
AGF Management is presently traded for 10.74on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AGF is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on AGF Management is about 50914.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.74. The company reported the revenue of 446.06 M. Net Income was 87.7 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 431.64 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out AGF Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AGF Management Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGF Management's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGF Management's future price movements. Getting to know how AGF Management's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGF Management may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WMT | Walmart Inc CDR | 0.15 | 1 per month | 0.73 | 0.15 | 1.51 | (1.33) | 4.55 | |
| AMZN | Amazon CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.03 | 2.80 | (2.97) | 10.08 | |
| UPS | UPS CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.05) | 1.79 | (1.63) | 6.70 | |
| HD | HOME DEPOT CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.13 | (1.64) | 5.93 | |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group CDR | (0) | 6 per month | 1.58 | (0.04) | 1.87 | (1.96) | 8.47 | |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corp | 0.42 | 3 per month | 0.85 | 0.02 | 2.06 | (1.69) | 5.17 | |
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (0.02) | 5 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 1.88 | (2.18) | 16.24 | |
| IBM | International Business Machines | 0.07 | 5 per month | 1.30 | 0.07 | 2.07 | (1.80) | 8.74 | |
| BN | Brookfield | (0.58) | 3 per month | 1.02 | 0.17 | 3.02 | (1.78) | 7.66 |
AGF Management Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGF using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AGF Management Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AGF Management stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AGF Management Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGF Management based on analysis of AGF Management hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AGF Management's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AGF Management's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0567 | 0.0579 | 0.0522 | 0.0368 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.04 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.09 |
Story Coverage note for AGF Management
The number of cover stories for AGF Management depends on current market conditions and AGF Management's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGF Management is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGF Management's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AGF Management Short Properties
AGF Management's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGF Management's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGF Management Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGF Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGF Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 67.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.6 M |
Additional Tools for AGF Stock Analysis
When running AGF Management's price analysis, check to measure AGF Management's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGF Management is operating at the current time. Most of AGF Management's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGF Management's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGF Management's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGF Management to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.