Aspen Group (Australia) Price Prediction
| APZ Stock | 2.60 0.08 3.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.15 | Wall Street Target Price 3.1933 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.457 |
Using Aspen Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aspen Group Unit from the perspective of Aspen Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aspen Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aspen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aspen Group after-hype prediction price | AUD 2.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aspen |
Aspen Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aspen Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aspen Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aspen Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aspen Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aspen Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aspen Group's historical news coverage. Aspen Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.25 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Aspen Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aspen Group is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aspen Group Unit is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aspen Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aspen Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aspen Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aspen Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.35 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.60 | 2.60 | 0.00 |
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Aspen Group Hype Timeline
Aspen Group Unit is presently traded for 2.60on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aspen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aspen Group is about 41125.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.60. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aspen Group Unit last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2024. The entity had 1:10 split on the 25th of October 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Aspen Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aspen Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aspen Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aspen Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Aspen Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aspen Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASL | Andean Silver Limited | (0.02) | 4 per month | 4.13 | 0.06 | 8.15 | (7.05) | 26.66 | |
| HPP | Health and Plant | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACW | Actinogen Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.33 | (7.69) | 18.57 | |
| OBM | Ora Banda Mining | (0.01) | 3 per month | 3.63 | 0.07 | 6.67 | (6.58) | 22.07 | |
| HCW | Healthco Healthcare and | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.79 | (2.46) | 5.84 | |
| REG | Regis Healthcare | (0.05) | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 4.04 | (2.56) | 10.34 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.19 | (0.05) | 2.77 | (4.05) | 17.15 |
Aspen Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aspen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aspen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aspen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aspen Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aspen Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aspen Group Unit, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen Group based on analysis of Aspen Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aspen Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aspen Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aspen Group
The number of cover stories for Aspen Group depends on current market conditions and Aspen Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aspen Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aspen Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aspen Group Short Properties
Aspen Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aspen Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aspen Group Unit often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aspen Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aspen Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Additional Tools for Aspen Stock Analysis
When running Aspen Group's price analysis, check to measure Aspen Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspen Group is operating at the current time. Most of Aspen Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspen Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspen Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspen Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.