Aurora Royalties Stock Price Prediction
AUR-H Stock | CAD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aurora Royalties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurora Royalties from the perspective of Aurora Royalties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aurora Royalties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aurora because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aurora Royalties after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aurora |
Aurora Royalties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurora Royalties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurora Royalties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aurora Royalties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Aurora Royalties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurora Royalties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurora Royalties' historical news coverage. Aurora Royalties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 15.22, respectively. We have considered Aurora Royalties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurora Royalties is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurora Royalties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurora Royalties Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurora Royalties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Royalties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurora Royalties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.35 | 15.20 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
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Aurora Royalties Hype Timeline
Aurora Royalties is presently traded for 0.02on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Aurora is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurora Royalties is about 152000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Aurora Royalties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aurora Royalties Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurora Royalties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurora Royalties' future price movements. Getting to know how Aurora Royalties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurora Royalties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
CNJ-P | CNJ Capital Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
COST | Costco Wholesale Corp | (0.12) | 2 per month | 0.76 | 0 | 2.06 | (1.50) | 5.17 | |
MAP | Maple Peak Investments | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
AMC | Arizona Metals Corp | 0.07 | 1 per month | 3.35 | 0.02 | 9.44 | (5.26) | 25.56 | |
BIK-PA | Bip Investment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.05) | 1.14 | (1.18) | 5.32 | |
PLZ-UN | Plaza Retail REIT | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.59 | (0.17) | 1.36 | (1.29) | 3.50 |
Aurora Royalties Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Aurora Royalties Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aurora Royalties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aurora Royalties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurora Royalties based on analysis of Aurora Royalties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aurora Royalties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aurora Royalties's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aurora Royalties
The number of cover stories for Aurora Royalties depends on current market conditions and Aurora Royalties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aurora Royalties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aurora Royalties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aurora Royalties Short Properties
Aurora Royalties' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aurora Royalties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aurora Royalties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aurora Royalties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Royalties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.5 M | |
Shares Float | 19.1 M |
Additional Tools for Aurora Stock Analysis
When running Aurora Royalties' price analysis, check to measure Aurora Royalties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Royalties is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Royalties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Royalties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Royalties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Royalties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.