Excelsior Alimentos (Brazil) Price Prediction
| BAUH4 Preferred Stock | BRL 78.79 0.30 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Excelsior Alimentos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Excelsior Alimentos SA from the perspective of Excelsior Alimentos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Excelsior Alimentos to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Excelsior because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Excelsior Alimentos after-hype prediction price | BRL 78.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Excelsior |
Excelsior Alimentos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Excelsior Alimentos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Excelsior Alimentos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Excelsior Alimentos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Excelsior Alimentos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Excelsior Alimentos' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Excelsior Alimentos' historical news coverage. Excelsior Alimentos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 78.52 and 79.06, respectively. We have considered Excelsior Alimentos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Excelsior Alimentos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Excelsior Alimentos is based on 3 months time horizon.
Excelsior Alimentos Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Excelsior Alimentos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Excelsior Alimentos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Excelsior Alimentos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.79 | 78.79 | 0.00 |
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Excelsior Alimentos Hype Timeline
Excelsior Alimentos is currently traded for 78.79on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Excelsior is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Excelsior Alimentos is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.79. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Excelsior Alimentos was currently reported as 20.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of April 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Excelsior Alimentos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Excelsior Alimentos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Excelsior Alimentos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Excelsior Alimentos' future price movements. Getting to know how Excelsior Alimentos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Excelsior Alimentos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNPR3 | Minupar Participaes SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.84 | 0.06 | 5.65 | (3.35) | 24.11 | |
| CGRA4 | Grazziotin SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.25 | (1.55) | 6.10 | |
| BAZA3 | Banco da Amaznia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.38 | (2.14) | 6.81 | |
| CGRA3 | Grazziotin SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.39 | (2.93) | 7.21 |
Excelsior Alimentos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Excelsior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Excelsior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Excelsior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Excelsior Alimentos Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Excelsior Alimentos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Excelsior Alimentos SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Excelsior Alimentos based on analysis of Excelsior Alimentos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Excelsior Alimentos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Excelsior Alimentos's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Excelsior Alimentos
The number of cover stories for Excelsior Alimentos depends on current market conditions and Excelsior Alimentos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Excelsior Alimentos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Excelsior Alimentos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Excelsior Alimentos Short Properties
Excelsior Alimentos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Excelsior Alimentos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Excelsior Alimentos SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Excelsior Alimentos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Excelsior Alimentos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Additional Tools for Excelsior Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Excelsior Alimentos' price analysis, check to measure Excelsior Alimentos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Excelsior Alimentos is operating at the current time. Most of Excelsior Alimentos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Excelsior Alimentos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Excelsior Alimentos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Excelsior Alimentos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.