Carasent ASA (Norway) Price Prediction
CARA Stock | 20.50 0.50 2.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carasent ASA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carasent ASA from the perspective of Carasent ASA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carasent ASA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carasent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carasent ASA after-hype prediction price | NOK 20.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carasent |
Carasent ASA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carasent ASA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carasent ASA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carasent ASA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Carasent ASA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carasent ASA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carasent ASA's historical news coverage. Carasent ASA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.46 and 22.54, respectively. We have considered Carasent ASA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carasent ASA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carasent ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carasent ASA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carasent ASA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carasent ASA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carasent ASA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.50 | 20.50 | 0.00 |
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Carasent ASA Hype Timeline
Carasent ASA is currently traded for 20.50on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Carasent is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carasent ASA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.50. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Carasent ASA last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2018. The entity had 1:4 split on the 23rd of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Carasent ASA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carasent ASA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carasent ASA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carasent ASA's future price movements. Getting to know how Carasent ASA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carasent ASA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
AZT | Arcticzymes Technologies ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.29 | (4.71) | 25.36 | |
SEYE | Smart Eye AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.44 | (4.58) | 15.65 | |
BGBIO | Bergenbio ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.65 | 0.01 | 14.11 | (8.54) | 51.26 | |
KIT | Kitron ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.29 | (3.11) | 8.18 | |
NKR | Nekkar Asa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.67 | (2.84) | 13.86 |
Carasent ASA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carasent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carasent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carasent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Carasent ASA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carasent ASA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carasent ASA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carasent ASA based on analysis of Carasent ASA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carasent ASA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carasent ASA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Carasent ASA
The number of cover stories for Carasent ASA depends on current market conditions and Carasent ASA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carasent ASA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carasent ASA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carasent ASA Short Properties
Carasent ASA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carasent ASA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carasent ASA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carasent ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carasent ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 882.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Carasent Stock
Carasent ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Carasent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Carasent with respect to the benefits of owning Carasent ASA security.