Metro Healthcare (Indonesia) Price Prediction
CARE Stock | IDR 156.00 6.00 4.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Metro Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metro Healthcare Indonesia from the perspective of Metro Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Metro Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Metro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Metro Healthcare after-hype prediction price | IDR 156.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Metro |
Metro Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Metro Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Metro Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Metro Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Metro Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Metro Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Metro Healthcare's historical news coverage. Metro Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 152.66 and 159.34, respectively. We have considered Metro Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Metro Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Metro Healthcare Ind is based on 3 months time horizon.
Metro Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Metro Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Metro Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Metro Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.16 | 3.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
156.00 | 156.00 | 0.00 |
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Metro Healthcare Hype Timeline
Metro Healthcare Ind is currently traded for 156.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Metro is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Metro Healthcare is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 156.00. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Metro Healthcare was currently reported as 96.76. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Metro Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Metro Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Metro Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Metro Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Metro Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Metro Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
HEAL | Medikaloka Hermina PT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.01 | 3.57 | (2.31) | 9.14 | |
SAME | Sarana Meditama Metropolitan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.48 | (4.41) | 18.07 | |
MIKA | Mitra Keluarga Karyasehat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.00 | (2.93) | 10.99 | |
BHAT | Bhakti Multi Artha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.00 | (1.87) | 12.06 | |
NATO | Surya Permata Andalan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.17 | (2.08) | 6.70 |
Metro Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Metro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
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Statistic Functions | ||
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Volume Indicators |
About Metro Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Metro Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Metro Healthcare Indonesia, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Metro Healthcare based on analysis of Metro Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Metro Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Metro Healthcare's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Metro Healthcare
The number of cover stories for Metro Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Metro Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Metro Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Metro Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Metro Healthcare Short Properties
Metro Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Metro Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Metro Healthcare Indonesia often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Metro Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metro Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.2 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 T |
Other Information on Investing in Metro Stock
Metro Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metro with respect to the benefits of owning Metro Healthcare security.