Central Plaza (Thailand) Price Prediction
| CENTEL Stock | THB 38.00 0.25 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Central Plaza hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Central Plaza Hotel from the perspective of Central Plaza response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Central Plaza to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Central because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Central Plaza after-hype prediction price | THB 37.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Central |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Central Plaza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Central Plaza After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Central Plaza at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Central Plaza or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Central Plaza, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Central Plaza Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Central Plaza's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Central Plaza's historical news coverage. Central Plaza's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.41 and 40.09, respectively. We have considered Central Plaza's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Central Plaza is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Central Plaza Hotel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Central Plaza Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Central Plaza is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Central Plaza backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Central Plaza, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.00 | 37.75 | 0.00 |
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Central Plaza Hype Timeline
Central Plaza Hotel is currently traded for 38.00on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Central is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Central Plaza is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.00. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Central Plaza was currently reported as 13.67. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.89. Central Plaza Hotel last dividend was issued on the 30th of April 2020. The entity had 5:1 split on the 30th of June 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Central Plaza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Central Plaza Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Central Plaza's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Central Plaza's future price movements. Getting to know how Central Plaza's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Central Plaza may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCB | SCB X Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.04 | 2.38 | (0.92) | 7.76 | |
| KBANK | Kasikornbank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 1.99 | (1.95) | 7.02 | |
| PTT | PTT Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.27 | (1.46) | 5.19 | |
| KBANK-R | Kasikornbank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.01 | 1.99 | (1.95) | 7.02 | |
| SCB-R | The Siam Commercial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.88 | |
| PTT-R | PTT Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.27 | (1.46) | 5.19 | |
| BBL | Bangkok Bank Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.06 | 2.24 | (2.21) | 8.21 | |
| KTB | Krung Thai Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.05 | 2.12 | (1.44) | 7.93 | |
| KTB-R | Krung Thai Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.05 | 2.12 | (1.44) | 7.93 |
Central Plaza Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Central price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Central using various technical indicators. When you analyze Central charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Central Plaza Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Central Plaza stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Central Plaza Hotel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Central Plaza based on analysis of Central Plaza hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Central Plaza's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Central Plaza's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Central Plaza
The number of cover stories for Central Plaza depends on current market conditions and Central Plaza's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Central Plaza is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Central Plaza's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Central Plaza Short Properties
Central Plaza's future price predictability will typically decrease when Central Plaza's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Central Plaza Hotel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Central Plaza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Plaza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Complementary Tools for Central Stock analysis
When running Central Plaza's price analysis, check to measure Central Plaza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Central Plaza is operating at the current time. Most of Central Plaza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Central Plaza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Central Plaza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Central Plaza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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