BII Railway (Germany) Price Prediction
| CN6 Stock | EUR 0.03 0.0005 1.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BII Railway hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BII Railway Transportation from the perspective of BII Railway response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BII Railway to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BII because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BII Railway after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BII |
BII Railway After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BII Railway at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BII Railway or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BII Railway, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BII Railway Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BII Railway's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BII Railway's historical news coverage. BII Railway's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 3.76, respectively. We have considered BII Railway's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BII Railway is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BII Railway Transpor is based on 3 months time horizon.
BII Railway Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BII Railway is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BII Railway backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BII Railway, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.03 | 0.03 | 11.11 |
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BII Railway Hype Timeline
BII Railway Transpor is currently traded for 0.03on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BII is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 11.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on BII Railway is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. BII Railway Transportation has accumulated 300 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 15.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BII Railway Transpor has a current ratio of 2.77, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BII Railway until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BII Railway's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BII Railway Transpor sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BII to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BII Railway's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out BII Railway Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BII Railway Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BII Railway's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BII Railway's future price movements. Getting to know how BII Railway's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BII Railway may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 32A | AEGEAN AIRLINES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.22 | (2.19) | 6.12 | |
| JAL | JAPAN AIRLINES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.97 | (1.96) | 6.76 | |
| 1G3 | Gladstone Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.07 | 3.91 | (2.45) | 12.34 | |
| MGC | MGIC INVESTMENT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 1.86 | (1.75) | 7.93 | |
| BXU | CDL INVESTMENT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | (0.04) | 2.56 | (4.55) | 12.20 | |
| CUG | Chuangs China Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | |
| DNN | Strategic Investments AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 7.14 | (7.14) | 35.58 |
BII Railway Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BII price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BII using various technical indicators. When you analyze BII charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BII Railway Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BII Railway stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BII Railway Transportation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BII Railway based on analysis of BII Railway hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BII Railway's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BII Railway's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BII Railway
The number of cover stories for BII Railway depends on current market conditions and BII Railway's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BII Railway is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BII Railway's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BII Railway Short Properties
BII Railway's future price predictability will typically decrease when BII Railway's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BII Railway Transportation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BII Railway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BII Railway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B |
Complementary Tools for BII Stock analysis
When running BII Railway's price analysis, check to measure BII Railway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BII Railway is operating at the current time. Most of BII Railway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BII Railway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BII Railway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BII Railway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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