Duck Creek Technologies Price Prediction

DCTDelisted Stock  USD 18.99  0.00  0.00%   
The value of RSI of Duck Creek's the stock price is slightly above 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Duck, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Duck Creek's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Duck Creek Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Duck Creek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duck Creek Technologies from the perspective of Duck Creek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Duck Creek to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Duck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Duck Creek after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duck Creek's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0418.0420.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.0158.0158.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.9918.9918.99
Details

Duck Creek After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Duck Creek at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duck Creek or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duck Creek, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Duck Creek Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Duck Creek's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duck Creek's historical news coverage. Duck Creek's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.99 and 18.99, respectively. We have considered Duck Creek's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.99
18.99
After-hype Price
18.99
Upside
Duck Creek is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duck Creek Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Duck Creek Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duck Creek is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duck Creek backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duck Creek, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
14 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.99
18.99
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Duck Creek Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of November Duck Creek Technologies is traded for 18.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Duck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duck Creek is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.99. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Duck Creek was currently reported as 5.5. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.11. Duck Creek Technologies last dividend was issued on the 28th of June 2018. The entity had 1:4 split on the 18th of November 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Duck Creek Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Duck Creek's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duck Creek's future price movements. Getting to know how Duck Creek's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duck Creek may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PYCRPaycor HCM 0.54 10 per month 1.46  0.1  3.05 (2.96) 9.64 
ENFNEnfusion(0.19)10 per month 1.47  0.11  3.93 (2.77) 10.11 
PWSCPowerschool Holdings 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.70) 0.18 (0.13) 0.71 
ETWOE2open Parent Holdings(0.11)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.87 (5.33) 25.44 
MNTVMomentive Global(0.02)8 per month 0.00  0.15  0.43 (0.21) 20.63 
OBLGOblong Inc(0.24)2 per month 9.84  0.01  12.82 (21.22) 122.32 
YMMFull Truck Alliance(0.06)7 per month 2.07  0.1  5.58 (3.79) 16.27 
KCKingsoft Cloud Holdings(0.47)9 per month 5.76  0.17  17.36 (11.49) 37.88 
BMTXBm Technologies(0.01)6 per month 3.14  0.13  10.49 (5.39) 47.84 
PLUSePlus inc(2.01)7 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.53 (3.01) 25.14 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(0.26)10 per month 1.32  0.12  2.80 (2.76) 18.70 
EXFYExpensify(0.03)9 per month 3.04  0.1  11.36 (5.17) 27.58 
MODNModel N(0.04)8 per month 0.29  0.04  1.01 (0.50) 10.58 
ENVEnvestnet 0.10 12 per month 0.10 (0.81) 0.22 (0.22) 0.68 
AMSWAAmerican Software 0.13 7 per month 1.18  0.1  3.79 (2.53) 10.40 
APPFAppfolio(0.47)10 per month 2.23 (0.01) 2.64 (2.27) 15.04 
AGYSAgilysys 1.42 11 per month 2.95  0.08  3.43 (5.24) 14.47 
MIXTMix Telemats 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.52 (3.34) 12.12 
LAWCS Disco LLC(0.11)8 per month 1.98 (0.03) 3.62 (3.52) 10.88 

Duck Creek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Duck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Duck Creek Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Duck Creek stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Duck Creek Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Duck Creek based on analysis of Duck Creek hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Duck Creek's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Duck Creek's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Duck Creek

The number of cover stories for Duck Creek depends on current market conditions and Duck Creek's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duck Creek is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duck Creek's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Duck Creek Short Properties

Duck Creek's future price predictability will typically decrease when Duck Creek's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duck Creek Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duck Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duck Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments273.1 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Duck Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Duck Creek Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Duck Creek's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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