Hotel Fitra (Indonesia) Price Prediction

FITT Stock   97.00  1.00  1.02%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Hotel Fitra's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hotel Fitra, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hotel Fitra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hotel Fitra International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Hotel Fitra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hotel Fitra International from the perspective of Hotel Fitra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hotel Fitra to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hotel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hotel Fitra after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 97.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hotel Fitra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.0691.18106.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.6797.7998.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.1499.72103.30
Details

Hotel Fitra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hotel Fitra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hotel Fitra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hotel Fitra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hotel Fitra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hotel Fitra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hotel Fitra's historical news coverage. Hotel Fitra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95.88 and 98.12, respectively. We have considered Hotel Fitra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
97.00
97.00
After-hype Price
98.12
Upside
Hotel Fitra is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hotel Fitra International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hotel Fitra Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hotel Fitra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hotel Fitra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hotel Fitra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
1.12
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
97.00
97.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Hotel Fitra Hype Timeline

Hotel Fitra International is currently traded for 97.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Hotel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Hotel Fitra is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.00. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 7.46. Hotel Fitra International had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Hotel Fitra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hotel Fitra Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hotel Fitra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hotel Fitra's future price movements. Getting to know how Hotel Fitra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hotel Fitra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Hotel Fitra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hotel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hotel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hotel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hotel Fitra Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hotel Fitra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hotel Fitra International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hotel Fitra based on analysis of Hotel Fitra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hotel Fitra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hotel Fitra's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hotel Fitra

The number of cover stories for Hotel Fitra depends on current market conditions and Hotel Fitra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hotel Fitra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hotel Fitra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hotel Fitra Short Properties

Hotel Fitra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hotel Fitra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hotel Fitra International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hotel Fitra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hotel Fitra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding703.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.3 B

Other Information on Investing in Hotel Stock

Hotel Fitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hotel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hotel with respect to the benefits of owning Hotel Fitra security.