H M (Germany) Price Prediction

HMSB Stock  EUR 13.23  0.08  0.61%   
The value of RSI of H M's share price is above 70 as of 23rd of November 2024. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling HMSB, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of H M's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of H M and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from H M's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with H M Hennes, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using H M hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of H M Hennes from the perspective of H M response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in H M to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HMSB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

H M after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 13.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out H M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7612.6616.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.0112.9116.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0212.0614.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as H M. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against H M's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, H M's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in H M Hennes.

H M After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of H M at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in H M or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of H M, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

H M Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting H M's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on H M's historical news coverage. H M's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.33 and 17.13, respectively. We have considered H M's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.23
13.23
After-hype Price
17.13
Upside
H M is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of H M Hennes is based on 3 months time horizon.

H M Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as H M is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading H M backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with H M, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
3.90
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.23
13.23
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

H M Hype Timeline

H M Hennes is currently traded for 13.23on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. HMSB is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on H M is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.23. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of H M was currently reported as 3.74. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2023. H M Hennes had 2:1 split on the 1st of June 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out H M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

H M Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to H M's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict H M's future price movements. Getting to know how H M's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how H M may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

H M Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HMSB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HMSB using various technical indicators. When you analyze HMSB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About H M Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of H M stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as H M Hennes, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of H M based on analysis of H M hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to H M's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to H M's related companies.

Story Coverage note for H M

The number of cover stories for H M depends on current market conditions and H M's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that H M is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about H M's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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H M Short Properties

H M's future price predictability will typically decrease when H M's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of H M Hennes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential H M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. H M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Complementary Tools for HMSB Stock analysis

When running H M's price analysis, check to measure H M's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy H M is operating at the current time. Most of H M's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of H M's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move H M's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of H M to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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