HERBALIFE (Germany) Price Prediction
| HOO Stock | EUR 7.55 0.09 1.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using HERBALIFE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HERBALIFE from the perspective of HERBALIFE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HERBALIFE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HERBALIFE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HERBALIFE after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HERBALIFE |
HERBALIFE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HERBALIFE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HERBALIFE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HERBALIFE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HERBALIFE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HERBALIFE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HERBALIFE's historical news coverage. HERBALIFE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.32 and 10.78, respectively. We have considered HERBALIFE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HERBALIFE is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HERBALIFE is based on 3 months time horizon.
HERBALIFE Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HERBALIFE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HERBALIFE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HERBALIFE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.55 | 7.55 | 0.00 |
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HERBALIFE Hype Timeline
HERBALIFE is currently traded for 7.55on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. HERBALIFE is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on HERBALIFE is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.55. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. HERBALIFE had 2:1 split on the 15th of May 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out HERBALIFE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HERBALIFE Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HERBALIFE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HERBALIFE's future price movements. Getting to know how HERBALIFE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HERBALIFE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AP2 | Applied Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.88 | (4.79) | 14.41 | |
| EZM | Compagnie Plastic Omnium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.51 | (5.09) | 14.48 | |
| GTR | Goodyear Tire Rubber | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | 0.1 | 6.12 | (2.67) | 14.32 | |
| VB2 | Vastned Retail NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | (0.16) | 1.46 | (1.24) | 3.52 | |
| 8BJ | BJs Wholesale Club | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.13 | 2.70 | (1.39) | 10.78 | |
| DG9 | JIAHUA STORES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MMX | Martin Marietta Materials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.1 | 2.35 | (2.45) | 6.80 |
HERBALIFE Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HERBALIFE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HERBALIFE using various technical indicators. When you analyze HERBALIFE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HERBALIFE Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HERBALIFE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HERBALIFE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HERBALIFE based on analysis of HERBALIFE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HERBALIFE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HERBALIFE's related companies.
Story Coverage note for HERBALIFE
The number of cover stories for HERBALIFE depends on current market conditions and HERBALIFE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HERBALIFE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HERBALIFE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HERBALIFE Short Properties
HERBALIFE's future price predictability will typically decrease when HERBALIFE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HERBALIFE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HERBALIFE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HERBALIFE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.9 M |
Complementary Tools for HERBALIFE Stock analysis
When running HERBALIFE's price analysis, check to measure HERBALIFE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HERBALIFE is operating at the current time. Most of HERBALIFE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HERBALIFE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HERBALIFE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HERBALIFE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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