Lennox International Stock Price Prediction
| LII Stock | USD 493.06 5.57 1.14% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.045 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.3368 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.8931 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.5205 | Wall Street Target Price 571.8667 |
Using Lennox International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lennox International from the perspective of Lennox International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lennox International using Lennox International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lennox using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lennox International's stock price.
Lennox International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lennox International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lennox. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lennox International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 545.6029 | Short Percent 0.0667 | Short Ratio 4.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 497.1166 |
Lennox International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lennox International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lennox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lennox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lennox International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lennox International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lennox International.
Lennox International Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Lennox International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lennox International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lennox International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lennox International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lennox International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lennox International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lennox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lennox International after-hype prediction price | USD 487.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lennox contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lennox International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lennox International trading at USD 493.06, that is roughly USD 0.14 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lennox International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lennox International options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Lennox International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Lennox International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lennox International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lennox International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lennox International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lennox International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lennox International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lennox International's historical news coverage. Lennox International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 486.17 and 489.63, respectively. We have considered Lennox International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lennox International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lennox International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lennox International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lennox International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lennox International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lennox International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.73 | 0.41 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
493.06 | 487.90 | 0.08 |
|
Lennox International Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Lennox International is traded for 493.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Lennox is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 487.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 16.76%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Lennox International is about 90.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 493.14. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.2 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 805.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.77 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Lennox International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lennox International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lennox International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lennox International's future price movements. Getting to know how Lennox International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lennox International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ACM | Aecom Technology | (0.97) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.46 | (2.59) | 12.17 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | (7.90) | 8 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 4.11 | (2.75) | 8.62 | |
| SNA | Snap On | 3.85 | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.04 | 1.94 | (1.45) | 3.63 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | (0.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.77 | (2.39) | 7.55 | |
| MAS | Masco | 3.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.51 | (2.29) | 7.82 | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International of | (0.59) | 10 per month | 0.62 | 0.22 | 2.46 | (1.63) | 13.29 | |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | 6.79 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.94 | (3.40) | 15.38 | |
| WSO | Watsco Inc | 8.49 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.03 | 4.05 | (2.21) | 7.55 | |
| CHRW | CH Robinson Worldwide | 3.33 | 10 per month | 0.51 | 0.20 | 2.87 | (1.70) | 22.91 | |
| FTAI | FTAI Aviation | 3.04 | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.18 | 6.86 | (4.53) | 17.39 |
Lennox International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lennox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lennox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lennox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lennox International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lennox International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lennox International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lennox International based on analysis of Lennox International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lennox International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lennox International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009656 | 0.00739 | 3.89E-4 | 3.7E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.19 | 4.06 | 3.26 | 3.43 |
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Complementary Tools for Lennox Stock analysis
When running Lennox International's price analysis, check to measure Lennox International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennox International is operating at the current time. Most of Lennox International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennox International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennox International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennox International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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