Lion Metal (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| LION Stock | IDR 276.00 2.00 0.72% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
20
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lion Metal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lion Metal Works from the perspective of Lion Metal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lion Metal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lion because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lion Metal after-hype prediction price | IDR 276.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lion |
Lion Metal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lion Metal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lion Metal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lion Metal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lion Metal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lion Metal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lion Metal's historical news coverage. Lion Metal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 273.60 and 278.40, respectively. We have considered Lion Metal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lion Metal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lion Metal Works is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lion Metal Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lion Metal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lion Metal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lion Metal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
276.00 | 276.00 | 0.00 |
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Lion Metal Hype Timeline
Lion Metal Works is now traded for 276.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lion is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.6%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lion Metal is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 276.00. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 8.27. Lion Metal Works last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2019. The entity had 10:1 split on the 2nd of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Lion Metal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lion Metal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lion Metal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lion Metal's future price movements. Getting to know how Lion Metal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lion Metal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMDR | Samudera Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.79 | (2.87) | 7.87 | |
| RAJA | Rukun Raharja Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0.20 | 9.76 | (4.23) | 36.07 | |
| TMAS | PT Temas Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.19 | (1.44) | 6.51 | |
| WEHA | Weha Transportasi Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.05 | 3.01 | (2.65) | 13.20 |
Lion Metal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lion using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lion Metal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lion Metal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lion Metal Works, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lion Metal based on analysis of Lion Metal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lion Metal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lion Metal's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lion Metal
The number of cover stories for Lion Metal depends on current market conditions and Lion Metal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lion Metal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lion Metal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lion Metal Short Properties
Lion Metal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lion Metal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lion Metal Works often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lion Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lion Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 520.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 136.9 B | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 10 | |
| Shares Float | 218.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Lion Stock
Lion Metal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lion with respect to the benefits of owning Lion Metal security.