Mgm China Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| MCHVY Stock | USD 14.70 0.22 1.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MGM China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MGM China Holdings from the perspective of MGM China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MGM China to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MGM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MGM China after-hype prediction price | USD 14.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MGM |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MGM China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MGM China After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MGM China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MGM China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MGM China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MGM China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MGM China's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MGM China's historical news coverage. MGM China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.98 and 18.42, respectively. We have considered MGM China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MGM China is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MGM China Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
MGM China Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MGM China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MGM China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MGM China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.72 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.70 | 14.70 | 0.00 |
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MGM China Hype Timeline
MGM China Holdings is now traded for 14.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. MGM is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on MGM China is about 1291.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.73. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.55. MGM China Holdings last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out MGM China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MGM China Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MGM China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MGM China's future price movements. Getting to know how MGM China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MGM China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SJMHY | SJM Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.99 | 0 | 9.23 | (12.67) | 52.44 | |
| MSC | Studio City International | 0.08 | 11 per month | 3.91 | 0.04 | 8.94 | (6.51) | 29.65 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.80 | 0.08 | 1.87 | (1.81) | 7.86 | |
| PLYA | Playa Hotels Resorts | 0.24 | 9 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 3.23 | (2.00) | 9.17 | |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | (0.19) | 12 per month | 1.20 | 0.1 | 3.22 | (2.31) | 10.76 | |
| MGM | MGM Resorts International | 1.28 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.31 | (2.60) | 14.38 | |
| CZR | Caesars Entertainment | (0.34) | 11 per month | 2.38 | (0.02) | 4.33 | (3.56) | 14.60 | |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Limited | 0.28 | 9 per month | 2.23 | 0.06 | 4.93 | (3.30) | 17.54 | |
| RRR | Red Rock Resorts | 1.54 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.69 | (3.09) | 12.47 | |
| MLCO | Melco Resorts Entertainment | 0.05 | 9 per month | 2.62 | 0.01 | 5.17 | (5.54) | 22.74 |
MGM China Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MGM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MGM using various technical indicators. When you analyze MGM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MGM China Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MGM China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MGM China Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MGM China based on analysis of MGM China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MGM China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MGM China's related companies.
Story Coverage note for MGM China
The number of cover stories for MGM China depends on current market conditions and MGM China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MGM China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MGM China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MGM China Short Properties
MGM China's future price predictability will typically decrease when MGM China's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MGM China Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MGM China's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MGM China's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 B |
Additional Tools for MGM Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MGM China's price analysis, check to measure MGM China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGM China is operating at the current time. Most of MGM China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGM China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGM China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGM China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.