NATION MEDIA (Kenya) Price Prediction
| NMG Stock | 12.90 0.65 4.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NATION MEDIA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NATION MEDIA GROUP from the perspective of NATION MEDIA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NATION MEDIA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NATION because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NATION MEDIA after-hype prediction price | KES 12.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NATION |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NATION MEDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NATION MEDIA Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of NATION MEDIA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NATION MEDIA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NATION MEDIA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NATION MEDIA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NATION MEDIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NATION MEDIA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NATION MEDIA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.90 | 12.90 | 0.00 |
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NATION MEDIA Hype Timeline
NATION MEDIA GROUP is now traded for 12.90on Nairobi Securities Exchange of Kenya. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NATION is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on NATION MEDIA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.90. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.NATION MEDIA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NATION MEDIA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NATION MEDIA's future price movements. Getting to know how NATION MEDIA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NATION MEDIA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SAFARI | SAFARICOM PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | (0.09) | 2.00 | (1.69) | 7.86 | |
| BBLK | ABSA BANK OF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.04 | 1.67 | (1.05) | 5.30 | |
| BATK | BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | (0.1) | 1.29 | (1.65) | 5.90 | |
| CBKL | CO OPERATIVE BANK OF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.02 | 1.15 | (1.47) | 3.72 | |
| KENRE | KENYA RE INSURANCE PORATION | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.36 | (4.13) | 14.60 | |
| HAL | HOME AFRIKA LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.39 | 0.05 | 6.67 | (6.25) | 18.77 | |
| SG | WPP SCANGROUP PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.02 | 0.02 | 7.37 | (6.83) | 18.46 | |
| HEL | HOMEBOYZ ENTERTAINMENT PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
NATION MEDIA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NATION price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NATION using various technical indicators. When you analyze NATION charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Story Coverage note for NATION MEDIA
The number of cover stories for NATION MEDIA depends on current market conditions and NATION MEDIA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NATION MEDIA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NATION MEDIA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for NATION Stock analysis
When running NATION MEDIA's price analysis, check to measure NATION MEDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NATION MEDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NATION MEDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NATION MEDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NATION MEDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NATION MEDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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