Peapack Gladstone Financial Stock Price Prediction

PGC Stock  USD 36.43  0.46  1.25%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Peapack Gladstone's the stock price is about 67 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Peapack, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Peapack Gladstone's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peapack Gladstone Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Peapack Gladstone's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.41
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.73
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.68
Wall Street Target Price
35.3333
Using Peapack Gladstone hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Peapack Gladstone Financial from the perspective of Peapack Gladstone response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Peapack Gladstone to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Peapack because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Peapack Gladstone after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Peapack Gladstone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8435.7338.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.6035.4938.38
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.6932.6336.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.430.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Peapack Gladstone. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Peapack Gladstone's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Peapack Gladstone's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Peapack Gladstone.

Peapack Gladstone After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Peapack Gladstone at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Peapack Gladstone or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Peapack Gladstone, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Peapack Gladstone Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Peapack Gladstone's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Peapack Gladstone's historical news coverage. Peapack Gladstone's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.62 and 39.40, respectively. We have considered Peapack Gladstone's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.43
36.51
After-hype Price
39.40
Upside
Peapack Gladstone is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peapack Gladstone is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peapack Gladstone Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Peapack Gladstone is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Peapack Gladstone backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Peapack Gladstone, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
2.89
  0.08 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.43
36.51
0.22 
1,806  
Notes

Peapack Gladstone Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November Peapack Gladstone is traded for 36.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Peapack is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Peapack Gladstone is about 8892.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.41. The company reported the last year's revenue of 229.67 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 48.85 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 236.12 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Peapack Gladstone Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Peapack Gladstone Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Peapack Gladstone's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Peapack Gladstone's future price movements. Getting to know how Peapack Gladstone's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Peapack Gladstone may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KEYKeyCorp 0.42 6 per month 1.39  0.06  2.99 (2.54) 19.76 
CMAComerica(1.39)10 per month 1.35  0.14  3.23 (2.64) 14.10 
FHNFirst Horizon National(0.07)10 per month 1.25  0.12  3.77 (2.49) 18.94 
WALWestern Alliance Bancorporation(0.61)11 per month 2.14  0.05  3.91 (3.17) 19.53 
FITBFifth Third Bancorp(0.15)9 per month 0.99  0.07  2.23 (2.01) 10.60 
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated 0.11 8 per month 0.88  0.11  2.75 (2.28) 14.20 
USBUS Bancorp(0.37)11 per month 1.17  0.08  2.86 (2.31) 10.98 
PNCPNC Financial Services 1.80 8 per month 0.89  0.11  2.54 (1.97) 9.52 

Peapack Gladstone Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Peapack price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Peapack using various technical indicators. When you analyze Peapack charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Peapack Gladstone Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Peapack Gladstone stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Peapack Gladstone Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Peapack Gladstone based on analysis of Peapack Gladstone hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Peapack Gladstone's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Peapack Gladstone's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0056760.0053920.0066850.00635
Price To Sales Ratio3.162.792.472.35

Story Coverage note for Peapack Gladstone

The number of cover stories for Peapack Gladstone depends on current market conditions and Peapack Gladstone's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Peapack Gladstone is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Peapack Gladstone's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Peapack Gladstone Short Properties

Peapack Gladstone's future price predictability will typically decrease when Peapack Gladstone's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Peapack Gladstone Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Peapack Gladstone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Peapack Gladstone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M
Cash And Short Term Investments187.7 M

Complementary Tools for Peapack Stock analysis

When running Peapack Gladstone's price analysis, check to measure Peapack Gladstone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Peapack Gladstone is operating at the current time. Most of Peapack Gladstone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Peapack Gladstone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Peapack Gladstone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Peapack Gladstone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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