Paragon Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| PGNT Stock | USD 7.65 0.05 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
83
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Paragon Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Paragon Technologies from the perspective of Paragon Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Paragon Technologies to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Paragon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Paragon Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Paragon |
Paragon Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Paragon Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Paragon Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Paragon Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Paragon Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Paragon Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Paragon Technologies' historical news coverage. Paragon Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.00 and 11.30, respectively. We have considered Paragon Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Paragon Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Paragon Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Paragon Technologies Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Paragon Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Paragon Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Paragon Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 3.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.65 | 7.65 | 0.00 |
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Paragon Technologies Hype Timeline
Paragon Technologies is at this time traded for 7.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Paragon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Paragon Technologies is about 362000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.65. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Paragon Technologies last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 1999. The entity had 3:2 split on the 12th of November 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Paragon Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Paragon Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Paragon Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Paragon Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Paragon Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Paragon Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCPPF | BCE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.90 | |
| AXLX | Axiologix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AVIFY | Advanced Info Service | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | 0.04 | 9.48 | (5.61) | 20.20 | |
| 444859BR2 | HUMANA INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.93 | (5.79) | 16.62 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.06 | 5.61 | (4.09) | 12.99 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| APAAX | Ab Pennsylvania Portfolio | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.14 | (0.57) | 0.31 | (0.31) | 1.13 | |
| SCRYX | Small Cap Core | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.01 | 2.10 | (1.69) | 7.88 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.14) | 1.21 | (1.02) | 2.80 |
Paragon Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Paragon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Paragon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Paragon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Paragon Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Paragon Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Paragon Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Paragon Technologies based on analysis of Paragon Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Paragon Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Paragon Technologies's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Paragon Technologies
The number of cover stories for Paragon Technologies depends on current market conditions and Paragon Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Paragon Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Paragon Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Paragon Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Paragon Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Paragon Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paragon Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Paragon Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paragon Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paragon Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paragon Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.