Supra Boga (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| RANC Stock | IDR 498.00 6.00 1.22% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Supra Boga hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Supra Boga Lestari from the perspective of Supra Boga response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Supra Boga to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Supra because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Supra Boga after-hype prediction price | IDR 498.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Supra |
Supra Boga After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Supra Boga at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Supra Boga or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Supra Boga, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Supra Boga Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Supra Boga's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Supra Boga's historical news coverage. Supra Boga's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 495.80 and 500.20, respectively. We have considered Supra Boga's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Supra Boga is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Supra Boga Lestari is based on 3 months time horizon.
Supra Boga Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Supra Boga is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Supra Boga backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Supra Boga, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
498.00 | 498.00 | 0.00 |
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Supra Boga Hype Timeline
Supra Boga Lestari is at this time traded for 498.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Supra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Supra Boga is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 498.00. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.41. Supra Boga Lestari last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Supra Boga Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Supra Boga Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Supra Boga's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Supra Boga's future price movements. Getting to know how Supra Boga's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Supra Boga may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROTI | Nippon Indosari Corpindo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.52 | (0.95) | 3.87 | |
| RALS | Ramayana Lestari Sentosa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.01 | (1.60) | 4.53 | |
| MIDI | Midi Utama Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.69 | (2.86) | 9.57 | |
| HERO | Hero Supermarket Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.72 | (4.51) | 12.01 | |
| AMRT | Sumber Alfaria Trijaya | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.95 | (0.05) | 3.21 | (2.68) | 9.84 |
Supra Boga Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Supra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Supra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Supra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Supra Boga Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Supra Boga stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Supra Boga Lestari, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Supra Boga based on analysis of Supra Boga hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Supra Boga's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Supra Boga's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Supra Boga
The number of cover stories for Supra Boga depends on current market conditions and Supra Boga's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Supra Boga is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Supra Boga's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Supra Boga Short Properties
Supra Boga's future price predictability will typically decrease when Supra Boga's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Supra Boga Lestari often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Supra Boga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Supra Boga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 125.3 B |
Other Information on Investing in Supra Stock
Supra Boga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Supra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Supra with respect to the benefits of owning Supra Boga security.