REGAL ASIAN (Australia) Price Prediction

RG8 Stock   2.18  0.01  0.46%   
The value of relative strength index of REGAL ASIAN's the stock price is slightly above 61 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling REGAL, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of REGAL ASIAN's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using REGAL ASIAN hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS from the perspective of REGAL ASIAN response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in REGAL ASIAN to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying REGAL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

REGAL ASIAN after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 2.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out REGAL ASIAN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.522.153.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.492.123.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.142.222.31
Details

REGAL ASIAN After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of REGAL ASIAN at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in REGAL ASIAN or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of REGAL ASIAN, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

REGAL ASIAN Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting REGAL ASIAN's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on REGAL ASIAN's historical news coverage. REGAL ASIAN's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.55 and 3.81, respectively. We have considered REGAL ASIAN's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.18
2.18
After-hype Price
3.81
Upside
REGAL ASIAN is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS is based on 3 months time horizon.

REGAL ASIAN Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as REGAL ASIAN is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading REGAL ASIAN backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with REGAL ASIAN, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.63
 0.00  
  0.02 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.18
2.18
0.00 
16,300  
Notes

REGAL ASIAN Hype Timeline

REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS is at this time traded for 2.18on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. REGAL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on REGAL ASIAN is about 1203.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.16. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out REGAL ASIAN Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

REGAL ASIAN Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to REGAL ASIAN's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict REGAL ASIAN's future price movements. Getting to know how REGAL ASIAN's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how REGAL ASIAN may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WBCPJWestpac Banking(0.23)2 per month 0.33 (0.27) 0.50 (0.51) 2.51 
ASKABACUS STORAGE KING 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.46 (2.42) 6.25 
ODYOdyssey Energy(0)2 per month 4.34  0.0007  10.53 (8.33) 34.43 
EOFEcofibre(0.001)1 per month 6.02  0.09  20.00 (13.16) 47.93 
IXJiShares Global Healthcare(1.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.94 (1.27) 3.57 
RICRidley(0.07)2 per month 0.99  0.14  3.21 (2.26) 9.18 
AHFAustralian Dairy Farms 0.001 2 per month 4.29  0.1  10.53 (10.00) 28.76 
AACAustralian Agricultural(0.02)1 per month 1.07 (0.03) 2.22 (2.11) 6.43 
ABEAustralian Bond Exchange 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.05) 10.71 (11.76) 40.00 
ERWErrawarra Resources(0)2 per month 5.53  0.06  12.50 (12.33) 43.06 

REGAL ASIAN Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine REGAL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for REGAL using various technical indicators. When you analyze REGAL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About REGAL ASIAN Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of REGAL ASIAN stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of REGAL ASIAN based on analysis of REGAL ASIAN hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to REGAL ASIAN's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to REGAL ASIAN's related companies.

Story Coverage note for REGAL ASIAN

The number of cover stories for REGAL ASIAN depends on current market conditions and REGAL ASIAN's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that REGAL ASIAN is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about REGAL ASIAN's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for REGAL Stock Analysis

When running REGAL ASIAN's price analysis, check to measure REGAL ASIAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy REGAL ASIAN is operating at the current time. Most of REGAL ASIAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of REGAL ASIAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move REGAL ASIAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of REGAL ASIAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.