Saga Plc (UK) Price Prediction
| SAGA Stock | 113.80 3.00 2.71% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year 36.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 54.55 | Wall Street Target Price 142 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.161 |
Using Saga Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Saga plc from the perspective of Saga Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Saga Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Saga because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Saga Plc after-hype prediction price | GBX 114.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Saga |
Saga Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Saga Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Saga Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Saga Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Saga Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Saga Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Saga Plc's historical news coverage. Saga Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 110.99 and 117.21, respectively. We have considered Saga Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Saga Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Saga plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Saga Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Saga Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Saga Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Saga Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.11 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
113.80 | 114.10 | 0.26 |
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Saga Plc Hype Timeline
Saga plc is at this time traded for 113.80on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Saga is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 114.1 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 194.38%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Saga Plc is about 12094.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 113.80. The company reported the revenue of 741.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (129 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 275.9 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Saga Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Saga Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Saga Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Saga Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Saga Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Saga Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0XVE | BE Semiconductor Industries | 0.69 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.76 | (3.75) | 15.22 | |
| MGAM | Morgan Advanced Materials | (2.50) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.82 | (2.11) | 5.19 | |
| 0NW1 | Compagnie Plastic Omnium | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.89 | (0.03) | 4.82 | (4.83) | 17.42 | |
| 0HTZ | Cars Inc | 0.30 | 2 per month | 3.16 | (0.02) | 6.15 | (4.12) | 16.46 | |
| 0LRK | Vulcan Materials Co | (0.79) | 1 per month | 0.97 | 0.07 | 3.38 | (1.80) | 9.11 | |
| 0GM2 | Leroy Seafood Group | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.34 | (0.04) | 2.85 | (2.59) | 9.07 | |
| 0GW8 | Grieg Seafood | 2.13 | 1 per month | 2.33 | 0.07 | 4.10 | (3.50) | 16.84 |
Saga Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Saga price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Saga using various technical indicators. When you analyze Saga charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Saga Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Saga Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Saga plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Saga Plc based on analysis of Saga Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Saga Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Saga Plc's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Saga Plc
The number of cover stories for Saga Plc depends on current market conditions and Saga Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Saga Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Saga Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Saga Plc Short Properties
Saga Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Saga Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Saga plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Saga Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saga Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 139.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 262.8 M |
Additional Tools for Saga Stock Analysis
When running Saga Plc's price analysis, check to measure Saga Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saga Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Saga Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saga Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saga Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saga Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.