Xencor Inc Stock Price Prediction
| XNCR Stock | USD 25.01 0.91 3.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.85) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.70) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.09) | Wall Street Target Price 33.1818 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.98) |
Using Xencor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Xencor Inc from the perspective of Xencor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Xencor Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Xencor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xencor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xencor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xencor Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Xencor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Xencor.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Xencor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Xencor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Xencor after-hype prediction price | USD 25.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Xencor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xencor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xencor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Xencor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Xencor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Xencor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Xencor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Xencor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Xencor's historical news coverage. Xencor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.69 and 29.07, respectively. We have considered Xencor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Xencor is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Xencor Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Xencor Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Xencor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xencor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Xencor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 3.69 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 11 Events / Month | 17 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.01 | 25.38 | 1.48 |
|
Xencor Hype Timeline
Xencor Inc is at this time traded for 25.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.37, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Xencor is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Xencor is about 1698.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.14. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 168.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.09 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (34.98 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Xencor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Xencor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Xencor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Xencor's future price movements. Getting to know how Xencor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Xencor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Xencor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Xencor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Xencor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Xencor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Xencor Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Xencor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Xencor Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Xencor based on analysis of Xencor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Xencor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Xencor's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 20.0 | 15.93 | 22.77 | 23.9 | Receivables Turnover | 4.14 | 5.68 | 14.91 | 14.16 |
Story Coverage note for Xencor
The number of cover stories for Xencor depends on current market conditions and Xencor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Xencor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Xencor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Xencor Short Properties
Xencor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Xencor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Xencor Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Xencor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xencor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 593.7 M |
Additional Tools for Xencor Stock Analysis
When running Xencor's price analysis, check to measure Xencor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xencor is operating at the current time. Most of Xencor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xencor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xencor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xencor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.