Carpenter Technology (Germany) Price Prediction
| XTY Stock | EUR 183.00 6.00 3.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Carpenter Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carpenter Technology from the perspective of Carpenter Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carpenter Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carpenter because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carpenter Technology after-hype prediction price | EUR 183.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Carpenter |
Carpenter Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carpenter Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carpenter Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carpenter Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carpenter Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carpenter Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carpenter Technology's historical news coverage. Carpenter Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 179.94 and 186.06, respectively. We have considered Carpenter Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carpenter Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carpenter Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carpenter Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carpenter Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carpenter Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carpenter Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 3.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
183.00 | 183.00 | 0.00 |
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Carpenter Technology Hype Timeline
Carpenter Technology is at this time traded for 183.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Carpenter is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on Carpenter Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 183.00. About 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Carpenter Technology has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.55. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Carpenter Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Carpenter Stock please use our How to Invest in Carpenter Technology guide.Carpenter Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carpenter Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carpenter Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Carpenter Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carpenter Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PL8 | Playtech plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | 0.04 | 2.08 | (1.57) | 10.06 | |
| TTG | THORNEY TECHS LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.15 | (0.02) | 8.76 | (7.74) | 20.87 | |
| S5H0 | SIEM OFFSHORE NEW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | (0.04) | 4.84 | (4.03) | 13.30 | |
| 1D8 | ACCSYS TECHPLC EO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.00 | (3.57) | 11.02 | |
| RC2 | RCM TECHNOLOGIES | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.06 | 4.81 | (4.59) | 15.24 | |
| SIA1 | Singapore Airlines Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.25) | 5.99 | |
| UT8 | Uber Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.74 | (0.02) | 3.20 | (2.66) | 20.49 |
Carpenter Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carpenter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carpenter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carpenter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carpenter Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carpenter Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carpenter Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carpenter Technology based on analysis of Carpenter Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carpenter Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carpenter Technology's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Carpenter Technology
The number of cover stories for Carpenter Technology depends on current market conditions and Carpenter Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carpenter Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carpenter Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Carpenter Technology Short Properties
Carpenter Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Carpenter Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carpenter Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carpenter Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carpenter Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Carpenter Stock analysis
When running Carpenter Technology's price analysis, check to measure Carpenter Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carpenter Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Carpenter Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carpenter Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carpenter Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carpenter Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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