Kapuas Prima (Indonesia) Price Prediction

ZINC Stock  IDR 14.00  1.00  6.67%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Kapuas Prima's share price is approaching 45. This usually means that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kapuas Prima, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kapuas Prima's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kapuas Prima Coal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kapuas Prima hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kapuas Prima Coal from the perspective of Kapuas Prima response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kapuas Prima to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kapuas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kapuas Prima after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 14.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Kapuas Prima Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7412.6016.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2214.0817.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0615.1716.27
Details

Kapuas Prima After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kapuas Prima at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kapuas Prima or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kapuas Prima, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kapuas Prima Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kapuas Prima's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kapuas Prima's historical news coverage. Kapuas Prima's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.14 and 17.86, respectively. We have considered Kapuas Prima's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.00
14.00
After-hype Price
17.86
Upside
Kapuas Prima is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kapuas Prima Coal is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kapuas Prima Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kapuas Prima is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kapuas Prima backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kapuas Prima, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
3.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.00
14.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kapuas Prima Hype Timeline

Kapuas Prima Coal is at this time traded for 14.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kapuas is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kapuas Prima is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.00. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.42. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Kapuas Prima Coal last dividend was issued on the 9th of July 2019. The entity had 5:1 split on the 4th of April 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Kapuas Prima Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kapuas Prima Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kapuas Prima's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kapuas Prima's future price movements. Getting to know how Kapuas Prima's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kapuas Prima may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PGASPerusahaan Gas Negara 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.74 (2.24) 7.25 
INCOVale Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.16 (3.01) 10.89 
TLKMTelkom Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.61 (3.31) 10.93 
MPMXMitra Pinasthika Mustika 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.31) 0.51 (0.98) 2.48 
JIHDJakarta Int Hotels 0.00 0 per month 2.01  0.39  24.74 (5.03) 34.81 
TECHIndosterling Technomedia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ISATIndosat Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 5.12 (5.74) 79.95 
BBNIBank Negara Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.73 (2.68) 8.76 
CASACapital Financial Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 2.09 (0.02) 3.60 (2.86) 21.12 
INOVInocycle Technology Tbk 0.00 0 per month 2.07 (0.03) 3.19 (4.04) 22.27 

Kapuas Prima Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kapuas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kapuas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kapuas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kapuas Prima Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kapuas Prima stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kapuas Prima Coal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kapuas Prima based on analysis of Kapuas Prima hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kapuas Prima's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kapuas Prima's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kapuas Prima

The number of cover stories for Kapuas Prima depends on current market conditions and Kapuas Prima's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kapuas Prima is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kapuas Prima's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Kapuas Prima Short Properties

Kapuas Prima's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kapuas Prima's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kapuas Prima Coal often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kapuas Prima's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kapuas Prima's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments177.2 B

Other Information on Investing in Kapuas Stock

Kapuas Prima financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kapuas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kapuas with respect to the benefits of owning Kapuas Prima security.