Alliance Entertainment Holding Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AENT Stock | 4.83 0.17 3.40% |
Alliance | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Alliance Entertainment Holding Company probability of financial unrest Analysis
Alliance Entertainment's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
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Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Alliance Entertainment Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 23% |
Most of Alliance Entertainment's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Alliance Entertainment Holding is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Alliance Entertainment probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Alliance Entertainment odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Alliance Entertainment Holding financial health.
Is Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alliance Entertainment. If investors know Alliance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alliance Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share 21.651 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0283 | Return On Equity 0.0548 |
The market value of Alliance Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alliance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alliance Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alliance Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alliance Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alliance Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alliance Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alliance Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alliance Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Alliance Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Alliance Entertainment is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Alliance Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Alliance Entertainment's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Alliance Entertainment's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Alliance Entertainment's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Alliance Entertainment Holding has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 23.0%. This is 55.44% lower than that of the Distributors sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 42.25% higher than that of the company.
Alliance Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Alliance Entertainment's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Alliance Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliance Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Alliance Entertainment is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Alliance Entertainment Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 27.4M | 74.7M | (83.6M) | 3.4M | 48.8M | 51.3M |
Alliance Entertainment ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Alliance Entertainment's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Alliance Entertainment's managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Alliance Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0548 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0283 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 374.99 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.94 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 93.80 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.29 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 55.02 K | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.89 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.23 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.1 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 182.38 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 19.98 M | ||||
| Net Income | 4.58 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 109.83 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.72 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.77 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.71 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.06) X | ||||
| Target Price | 6.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 657 | ||||
| Beta | 0.41 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 217.5 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 340.81 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 39.65 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 48.29 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 340.81 M |
About Alliance Entertainment Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Alliance Entertainment Holding's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Alliance Entertainment using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alliance Entertainment Holding based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis
When running Alliance Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.