Playags Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AGS Stock

USD 11.66 0.01 0.09%

PlayAGS's threat of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. PlayAGS's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting PlayAGS Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the PlayAGS balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out PlayAGS Piotroski F Score and PlayAGS Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy PlayAGS Stock please use our How to Invest in PlayAGS guide.

PlayAGS Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

PlayAGS's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of PlayAGS's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, PlayAGS is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of PlayAGS probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting PlayAGS odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of PlayAGS financial health.

Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PlayAGS. If investors know PlayAGS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PlayAGS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.50)

Earnings Share

0.17

Revenue Per Share

9.774

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.11

Return On Assets

0.0635

The market value of PlayAGS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PlayAGS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PlayAGS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PlayAGS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PlayAGS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PlayAGS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between PlayAGS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PlayAGS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PlayAGS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for PlayAGS is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of PlayAGS Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since PlayAGS's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of PlayAGS's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of PlayAGS's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Short Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.44	0.98	-0.64	0.85	0.83	0.64	0.98	0.83	0.86	-0.8	0.88	0.99	0.94	-0.65	0.97	0.96	0.8	0.22	0.96	0.89	0.51	0.11	0.61	0.37
Total Stockholder Equity	0.44		0.31	-0.04	0.41	0.42	0.25	0.27	0.4	0.42	-0.56	0.36	0.34	0.22	-0.12	0.22	0.22	0.45	0.21	0.22	0.51	0.21	0.18	0.32	0.11
Net Debt	0.98	0.31		-0.6	0.82	0.78	0.61	0.99	0.76	0.86	-0.82	0.88	0.97	0.94	-0.7	0.97	0.97	0.72	0.21	0.97	0.83	0.43	0.05	0.52	0.36
Retained Earnings	-0.64	-0.04	-0.6		-0.62	-0.84	-0.76	-0.68	-0.86	-0.2	0.28	-0.45	-0.74	-0.78	0.35	-0.71	-0.73	-0.88	0.32	-0.66	-0.71	-0.68	0.13	-0.86	-0.73
Accounts Payable	0.85	0.41	0.82	-0.62		0.79	0.73	0.83	0.73	0.67	-0.63	0.7	0.85	0.73	-0.54	0.8	0.77	0.73	-0.1	0.76	0.87	0.4	0.14	0.49	0.24
Net Receivables	0.83	0.42	0.78	-0.84	0.79		0.77	0.8	0.91	0.46	-0.58	0.65	0.87	0.84	-0.53	0.79	0.82	0.97	-0.14	0.74	0.92	0.51	0.08	0.76	0.57
Short Term Investments	0.64	0.25	0.61	-0.76	0.73	0.77		0.64	0.81	0.28	-0.51	0.34	0.67	0.69	-0.36	0.62	0.61	0.79	-0.21	0.57	0.6	0.61	0.01	0.7	0.49
Total Liab	0.98	0.27	0.99	-0.68	0.83	0.8	0.64		0.81	0.83	-0.74	0.87	0.99	0.96	-0.67	0.99	0.99	0.76	0.2	0.99	0.85	0.51	0.08	0.59	0.37
Total Current Assets	0.83	0.4	0.76	-0.86	0.73	0.91	0.81	0.81		0.44	-0.59	0.64	0.85	0.87	-0.38	0.8	0.82	0.97	-0.13	0.76	0.8	0.81	0.16	0.92	0.55
Intangible Assets	0.86	0.42	0.86	-0.2	0.67	0.46	0.28	0.83	0.44		-0.75	0.83	0.79	0.7	-0.65	0.81	0.78	0.39	0.54	0.85	0.67	0.16	0.06	0.17	0.06
Common Stock	-0.8	-0.56	-0.82	0.28	-0.63	-0.58	-0.51	-0.74	-0.59	-0.75		-0.72	-0.72	-0.7	0.5	-0.7	-0.69	-0.55	-0.17	-0.69	-0.62	-0.34	-0.01	-0.42	-0.3
Current Deferred Revenue	0.88	0.36	0.88	-0.45	0.7	0.65	0.34	0.87	0.64	0.83	-0.72		0.87	0.8	-0.74	0.87	0.87	0.6	0.3	0.87	0.75	0.36	0.02	0.44	0.29
Good Will	0.99	0.34	0.97	-0.74	0.85	0.87	0.67	0.99	0.85	0.79	-0.72	0.87		0.96	-0.67	0.98	0.98	0.84	0.16	0.97	0.9	0.52	0.05	0.65	0.44
Short Term Debt	0.94	0.22	0.94	-0.78	0.73	0.84	0.69	0.96	0.87	0.7	-0.7	0.8	0.96		-0.59	0.96	0.97	0.84	0.16	0.95	0.8	0.59	0.0	0.71	0.54
Net Tangible Assets	-0.65	-0.12	-0.7	0.35	-0.54	-0.53	-0.36	-0.67	-0.38	-0.65	0.5	-0.74	-0.67	-0.59		-0.69	-0.69	-0.38	-0.29	-0.69	-0.59	0.0	0.29	-0.16	-0.35
Long Term Debt	0.97	0.22	0.97	-0.71	0.8	0.79	0.62	0.99	0.8	0.81	-0.7	0.87	0.98	0.96	-0.69		0.99	0.75	0.18	0.99	0.84	0.52	-0.01	0.6	0.44
Long Term Debt Total	0.96	0.22	0.97	-0.73	0.77	0.82	0.61	0.99	0.82	0.78	-0.69	0.87	0.98	0.97	-0.69	0.99		0.78	0.17	0.99	0.85	0.52	-0.01	0.63	0.47
Capital Surpluse	0.8	0.45	0.72	-0.88	0.73	0.97	0.79	0.76	0.97	0.39	-0.55	0.6	0.84	0.84	-0.38	0.75	0.78		-0.17	0.7	0.86	0.68	0.1	0.89	0.61
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.22	0.21	0.21	0.32	-0.1	-0.14	-0.21	0.2	-0.13	0.54	-0.17	0.3	0.16	0.16	-0.29	0.18	0.17	-0.17		0.27	-0.04	-0.22	0.01	-0.27	-0.2
Short Long Term Debt	0.96	0.22	0.97	-0.66	0.76	0.74	0.57	0.99	0.76	0.85	-0.69	0.87	0.97	0.95	-0.69	0.99	0.99	0.7	0.27		0.81	0.49	-0.02	0.56	0.41
Property Plant Equipment	0.89	0.51	0.83	-0.71	0.87	0.92	0.6	0.85	0.8	0.67	-0.62	0.75	0.9	0.8	-0.59	0.84	0.85	0.86	-0.04	0.81		0.4	0.08	0.61	0.44
Cash And Equivalents	0.51	0.21	0.43	-0.68	0.4	0.51	0.61	0.51	0.81	0.16	-0.34	0.36	0.52	0.59	0.0	0.52	0.52	0.68	-0.22	0.49	0.4		0.14	0.91	0.42
Net Invested Capital	0.11	0.18	0.05	0.13	0.14	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.16	0.06	-0.01	0.02	0.05	0.0	0.29	-0.01	-0.01	0.1	0.01	-0.02	0.08	0.14		0.01	-0.68
Net Working Capital	0.61	0.32	0.52	-0.86	0.49	0.76	0.7	0.59	0.92	0.17	-0.42	0.44	0.65	0.71	-0.16	0.6	0.63	0.89	-0.27	0.56	0.61	0.91	0.01		0.67
Capital Stock	0.37	0.11	0.36	-0.73	0.24	0.57	0.49	0.37	0.55	0.06	-0.3	0.29	0.44	0.54	-0.35	0.44	0.47	0.61	-0.2	0.41	0.44	0.42	-0.68	0.67

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict PlayAGS

Based on the latest financial disclosure, PlayAGS has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 88.35% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses PlayAGS's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of PlayAGS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PlayAGS by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

PlayAGS is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

PlayAGS Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0151)	(0.12)	(0.0308)	(0.0117)	6.29E-4	6.61E-4
Net Debt	522.8M	536.4M	525.2M	528.7M	514.0M	462.0M
Total Current Liabilities	56.5M	42.9M	55.5M	58.6M	47.6M	42.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total	572.1M	644.1M	635.8M	576.8M	565.1M	534.1M
Total Assets	762.4M	740.8M	732.8M	684.8M	680.3M	642.6M
Total Current Assets	115.6M	159.3M	185.1M	146.2M	165.4M	112.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	88.0M	36.2M	78.3M	77.7M	86.2M	48.6M

PlayAGS ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, PlayAGS's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to PlayAGS's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

PlayAGS Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.11
	Return On Asset	0.0635
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.18 %
	Current Valuation	979.11 M
	Shares Outstanding	40.93 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	3.79 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	78.39 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	699.62 K
	Price To Earning	(33.74) X
	Price To Book	6.74 X
	Price To Sales	1.24 X
	Revenue	356.54 M
	Gross Profit	223.31 M
	EBITDA	135.78 M
	Net Income	428 K
	Cash And Equivalents	37.89 M
	Cash Per Share	1.27 X
	Total Debt	564.98 M
	Current Ratio	2.26 X
	Book Value Per Share	1.74 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	86.2 M
	Short Ratio	3.82 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.17 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(0.29) X
	Target Price	12.63
	Number Of Employees	883
	Beta	2.35
	Market Capitalization	476.8 M
	Total Asset	680.34 M
	Retained Earnings	(353.04 M)
	Working Capital	117.79 M
	Current Asset	51.74 M
	Current Liabilities	45.78 M
	Net Asset	680.34 M

About PlayAGS Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze PlayAGS's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of PlayAGS using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of PlayAGS based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for PlayAGS Stock Analysis

When running PlayAGS's price analysis, check to measure PlayAGS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PlayAGS is operating at the current time. Most of PlayAGS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PlayAGS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PlayAGS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PlayAGS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Playags Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

PlayAGS Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy

PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

PlayAGS Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

PlayAGS Main Bankruptcy Drivers

PlayAGS ESG Sustainability

PlayAGS Fundamentals

About PlayAGS Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for PlayAGS Stock Analysis

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