Aspen Group Unit Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| APZ Stock | 2.55 0.05 1.92% |
Aspen | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Aspen Group Unit Company probability of financial unrest Analysis
Aspen Group's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Aspen Group Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 53% |
Most of Aspen Group's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Aspen Group Unit is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Aspen Group probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Aspen Group odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Aspen Group Unit financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Aspen Group Unit has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 53%. This is 23.92% higher than that of the Diversified REITs sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Australia stocks is 33.07% lower than that of the firm.
Aspen Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Aspen Group's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Aspen Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aspen Group by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Aspen Group is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Aspen Group Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | 37.8M | 68.6M | 143.8M | 162.9M | 195.4M | 205.1M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 11.6M | 18.5M | 44.7M | 49.9M | 55.2M | 32.8M | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 42.6M | 74.5M | 127.7M | 138.5M | 180.1M | 189.1M | |
| Total Assets | 191.2M | 249.9M | 468.5M | 575.8M | 669.0M | 702.4M | |
| Total Current Assets | 17.9M | 13.4M | 15.1M | 27.8M | 40.8M | 46.1M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 11.2M | 12.7M | 76.4M | 14.1M | 30.9M | 18.3M |
Aspen Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0276 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.53 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 706.1 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 200.28 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.78 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.64 % | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.17 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.71 X | ||||
| Revenue | 91.14 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 6.99 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 28.45 M | ||||
| Net Income | 48.44 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 199.9 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.20 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 30.95 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.26 X | ||||
| Target Price | 3.19 | ||||
| Beta | 0.49 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 520.74 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 668.95 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (215.91 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (14.38 M) | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 668.95 M | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.085 |
About Aspen Group Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aspen Group Unit's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aspen Group using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen Group Unit based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Tools for Aspen Stock Analysis
When running Aspen Group's price analysis, check to measure Aspen Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aspen Group is operating at the current time. Most of Aspen Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aspen Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aspen Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aspen Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.