Arc Resources Stock Beneish M Score

ARX Stock  CAD 25.77  0.95  3.56%   
This module uses fundamental data of ARC Resources to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. ARC Resources M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ARC Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
At this time, ARC Resources' Total Debt To Capitalization is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to grow to 2.19, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 73.6 M. At this time, ARC Resources' Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 2.75, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.03.
At this time, ARC Resources' M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if ARC Resources' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by ARC Resources executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of ARC Resources' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-0.66
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

5.59

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.42

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.58

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

ARC Resources Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if ARC Resources' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables612.1 M583 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue6.7 B6.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets13 B12.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets938.1 M893.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total12.1 B11.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment6.7 B11.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative222.8 M212.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB981.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total4.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt2.3 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt73.6 M85.2 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.1 B1.1 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.5 B2.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments203.7 M194 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

ARC Resources Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between ARC Resources' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards ARC Resources in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find ARC Resources' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About ARC Resources Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

1.49 Billion

At this time, ARC Resources' Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

ARC Resources Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as ARC Resources. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables124.4M145.9M672M863.2M583M612.2M
Total Revenue1.3B1.2B5.5B9.9B6.4B6.7B
Total Assets5.8B5.0B11.4B11.6B12.4B13.0B
Total Current Assets193.2M162.3M730M986.5M893.4M938.1M
Net Debt915.3M750.7M3.4B1.7B2.2B2.3B
Short Term Debt165.2M162M109.3M92.4M85.2M73.6M
Long Term Debt728.7M555.2M1.7B990M1.1B1.1B
Operating Income106.3M(685M)2.0B4.0B1.7B1.8B
Investments(673.3M)(364.3M)(2.5M)(1.4B)(1.6B)(1.5B)

ARC Resources ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, ARC Resources' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ARC Resources' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About ARC Resources Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze ARC Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of ARC Resources using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of ARC Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with ARC Resources

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ARC Resources position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ARC Resources will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against ARC Stock

  0.4SAGE Sage Potash CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ARC Resources could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ARC Resources when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ARC Resources - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ARC Resources to buy it.
The correlation of ARC Resources is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ARC Resources moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ARC Resources moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ARC Resources can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in ARC Stock

ARC Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether ARC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ARC with respect to the benefits of owning ARC Resources security.