Axis Capital Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AXS Stock  USD 89.21  1.10  1.25%   
AXIS Capital's threat of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. AXIS Capital's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting AXIS Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the AXIS balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out AXIS Capital Piotroski F Score and AXIS Capital Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to drop to about 4.6 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 3.1 B in 2024

AXIS Capital Holdings Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

AXIS Capital's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current AXIS Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 5%  
Most of AXIS Capital's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, AXIS Capital Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of AXIS Capital probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting AXIS Capital odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of AXIS Capital Holdings financial health.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AXIS Capital. If investors know AXIS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AXIS Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.03)
Dividend Share
1.76
Earnings Share
7.22
Revenue Per Share
70.502
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
The market value of AXIS Capital Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AXIS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AXIS Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AXIS Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AXIS Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AXIS Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AXIS Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AXIS Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AXIS Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AXIS Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for AXIS Capital is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of AXIS Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since AXIS Capital's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of AXIS Capital's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of AXIS Capital's interrelated accounts and indicators.
0.620.910.670.780.410.990.850.730.840.680.860.91-0.88-0.570.620.680.54-0.5-0.410.050.570.1-0.48
0.620.80.050.260.480.50.690.060.690.270.410.29-0.540.090.030.30.69-0.08-0.08-0.090.00.080.03
0.910.80.440.620.550.860.840.480.830.460.710.71-0.87-0.340.390.570.54-0.4-0.260.090.310.11-0.25
0.670.050.440.93-0.180.730.440.740.60.560.690.79-0.71-0.940.80.810.33-0.53-0.56-0.010.85-0.31-0.78
0.780.260.620.930.080.810.570.670.710.610.70.8-0.84-0.860.730.840.46-0.55-0.6-0.130.82-0.28-0.78
0.410.480.55-0.180.080.360.620.180.090.260.340.24-0.450.250.02-0.240.2-0.20.140.17-0.190.330.32
0.990.50.860.730.810.360.810.790.80.70.870.95-0.87-0.650.680.690.47-0.53-0.430.070.620.1-0.54
0.850.690.840.440.570.620.810.590.560.680.740.69-0.83-0.260.440.30.6-0.41-0.31-0.010.40.04-0.25
0.730.060.480.740.670.180.790.590.430.540.850.93-0.7-0.720.830.460.37-0.66-0.220.10.560.1-0.41
0.840.690.830.60.710.090.80.560.430.40.650.7-0.71-0.560.460.870.59-0.37-0.4-0.030.47-0.03-0.49
0.680.270.460.560.610.260.70.680.540.40.680.63-0.52-0.360.590.370.37-0.12-0.65-0.10.790.17-0.58
0.860.410.710.690.70.340.870.740.850.650.680.91-0.79-0.590.890.550.54-0.53-0.360.270.590.28-0.3
0.910.290.710.790.80.240.950.690.930.70.630.91-0.82-0.760.810.670.43-0.62-0.360.110.640.13-0.52
-0.88-0.54-0.87-0.71-0.84-0.45-0.87-0.83-0.7-0.71-0.52-0.79-0.820.61-0.63-0.63-0.570.60.360.01-0.530.080.43
-0.570.09-0.34-0.94-0.860.25-0.65-0.26-0.72-0.56-0.36-0.59-0.760.61-0.74-0.8-0.230.60.41-0.06-0.70.370.71
0.620.030.390.80.730.020.680.440.830.460.590.890.81-0.63-0.740.580.39-0.53-0.440.230.730.18-0.42
0.680.30.570.810.84-0.240.690.30.460.870.370.550.67-0.63-0.80.580.42-0.43-0.59-0.120.7-0.19-0.75
0.540.690.540.330.460.20.470.60.370.590.370.540.43-0.57-0.230.390.42-0.39-0.21-0.360.27-0.08-0.18
-0.5-0.08-0.4-0.53-0.55-0.2-0.53-0.41-0.66-0.37-0.12-0.53-0.620.60.6-0.53-0.43-0.390.27-0.04-0.250.170.23
-0.41-0.08-0.26-0.56-0.60.14-0.43-0.31-0.22-0.4-0.65-0.36-0.360.360.41-0.44-0.59-0.210.270.19-0.830.030.73
0.05-0.090.09-0.01-0.130.170.07-0.010.1-0.03-0.10.270.110.01-0.060.23-0.12-0.36-0.040.19-0.170.250.43
0.570.00.310.850.82-0.190.620.40.560.470.790.590.64-0.53-0.70.730.70.27-0.25-0.83-0.17-0.09-0.87
0.10.080.11-0.31-0.280.330.10.040.1-0.030.170.280.130.080.370.18-0.19-0.080.170.030.25-0.090.35
-0.480.03-0.25-0.78-0.780.32-0.54-0.25-0.41-0.49-0.58-0.3-0.520.430.71-0.42-0.75-0.180.230.730.43-0.870.35
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, AXIS Capital Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Insurance sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

AXIS Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses AXIS Capital's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of AXIS Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AXIS Capital by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
AXIS Capital is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

AXIS Capital Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0017830.0126(0.004514)0.02260.0080840.0133
Net Debt682.6M547.1M585.9M744.9M138.6M145.6M
Total Current Liabilities1.3B1.1B1.3B1.5B18.3B10.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total1.9B1.4B1.4B1.5B25.0B26.2B
Total Assets25.6B25.9B27.4B27.6B28.3B20.2B
Total Current Assets21.1B20.8B21.5B21.4B11.8B16.4B
Total Cash From Operating Activities199.0M343.5M1.1B692.2M1.3B775.2M

AXIS Capital ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, AXIS Capital's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to AXIS Capital's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

AXIS Fundamentals

About AXIS Capital Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze AXIS Capital Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of AXIS Capital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of AXIS Capital Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for AXIS Stock Analysis

When running AXIS Capital's price analysis, check to measure AXIS Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXIS Capital is operating at the current time. Most of AXIS Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXIS Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXIS Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXIS Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.