Axsome Therapeutics Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AXSM Stock | USD 98.19 3.59 3.79% |
Axsome |
Axsome Therapeutics Company odds of distress Analysis
Axsome Therapeutics' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Axsome Therapeutics Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 9% |
Most of Axsome Therapeutics' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Axsome Therapeutics is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Axsome Therapeutics probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Axsome Therapeutics odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Axsome Therapeutics financial health.
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axsome Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axsome Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axsome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axsome Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axsome Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axsome Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axsome Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axsome Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axsome Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Axsome Therapeutics has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 79.21% lower than that of the Pharmaceuticals sector and 83.59% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.
Axsome Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Axsome Therapeutics' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Axsome Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axsome Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Axsome Therapeutics is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Axsome Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -1.72 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.26 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.92) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.44) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.45 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 48.46 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 16.60 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 81.06 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.58 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (3.34) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 49.35 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 13.55 X | ||||
| Revenue | 270.6 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 45.94 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (224.99 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (239.24 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 73.39 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.82 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 186.37 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.44 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.92 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (145.08 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 18.44 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (6.58) X | ||||
| Target Price | 129.41 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 607 | ||||
| Beta | 1.25 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.58 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 588.24 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (835.57 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 365.41 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 34.76 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 6.74 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 588.24 M |
About Axsome Therapeutics Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Axsome Therapeutics's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Axsome Therapeutics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axsome Therapeutics based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Axsome Therapeutics Piotroski F Score and Axsome Therapeutics Altman Z Score analysis. To learn how to invest in Axsome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Axsome Therapeutics guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axsome Therapeutics. If investors know Axsome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axsome Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Axsome Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axsome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axsome Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axsome Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axsome Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axsome Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axsome Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axsome Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axsome Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.