Brown Forman Stock Beneish M Score

BF-A Stock  USD 41.10  0.23  0.56%   
This module uses fundamental data of Brown Forman to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Brown Forman M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Brown Forman Piotroski F Score and Brown Forman Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Brown Forman's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 2.8 B, whereas Long Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 2.1 B. At present, Brown Forman's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 7.75, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 3.14.
At this time, Brown Forman's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Brown Forman's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Brown Forman executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Brown Forman's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.37
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

0.96

Focus
Asset Quality

1.13

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.37

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.83

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.37

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.33

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.6

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Brown Forman Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Brown Forman's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables441.5 M769 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.5 B4.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets8.6 B8.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets4.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.3 B4.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment852.9 M1.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization46.1 M87 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative678.2 M826 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.6 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total3.2 B3.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt2.8 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt764.4 M728 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt2.1 B2.4 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities460.9 M647 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments98.4 M77.4 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments150.2 M270 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.50.6046
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Brown Forman Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Brown Forman's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Brown Forman in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Brown Forman's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Brown Forman Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

46.11 Million

At present, Brown Forman's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Brown Forman Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Brown Forman. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables570M753M813M855M769M441.5M
Total Revenue3.4B3.5B3.9B4.2B4.2B2.5B
Total Assets5.8B6.5B6.4B7.8B8.2B8.6B
Total Current Assets3.3B3.9B3.8B3.8B4.0B4.2B
Net Debt1.9B1.4B1.4B2.5B2.7B2.8B
Short Term Debt150M333M225M257M728M764.4M
Long Term Debt2.3B2.4B2.0B2.7B2.4B2.1B
Operating Income1.1B1.2B1.2B1.1B1.4B1.5B
Investments(141M)98M(127M)(1.4B)49M51.5M
Gross Profit Margin0.650.630.610.590.60.5

About Brown Forman Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Brown Forman's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Brown Forman using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brown Forman based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Brown Stock

Brown Forman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brown Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brown with respect to the benefits of owning Brown Forman security.