Ballard Power Systems Stock Beneish M Score

BLDP Stock  USD 1.28  0.05  3.76%   
This module uses fundamental data of Ballard Power to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Ballard Power M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Ballard Power Piotroski F Score and Ballard Power Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Ballard Power's Long Term Debt is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/23/2024, Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 20.9 M, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 3.7 M. At this time, Ballard Power's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/23/2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 4.41, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 146.48.
At this time, it appears that Ballard Power Systems is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Ballard Power's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Ballard Power executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Ballard Power's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.48
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.56

Focus
Asset Quality

1.17

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.11

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.94

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.11

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.67

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.94

Focus

Ballard Power Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Ballard Power's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables53.3 M50.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue69 M102.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets903.3 M860.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total120.3 M211.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment37.5 M74.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative17.8 M23.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities45.9 M70.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total15.5 M15.7 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt3.7 M4.5 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt9.1 M7.2 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Short Term InvestmentsM2.1 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Ballard Power Systems Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Ballard Power's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Ballard Power in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Ballard Power's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Ballard Power Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

9.59 Million

At this time, Ballard Power's Depreciation And Amortization is relatively stable compared to the past year.

Ballard Power Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Ballard Power. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables49.3M56.8M39.8M38.6M50.8M53.3M
Total Revenue106.3M103.9M104.5M83.8M102.4M69.0M
Total Assets340.3M975.6M1.4B1.2B1.1B1.1B
Total Current Assets229.5M854.3M1.2B1.0B860.3M903.3M
Net Debt(128.0M)(745.6M)(1.1B)(898.0M)(733.2M)(696.6M)
Short Term Debt2.4M2.7M3.2M3.9M4.5M3.7M
Operating Income(25.8M)(41.2M)(88.0M)(158.9M)(162.9M)(154.8M)
Investments(32.7M)(36.4M)(63.8M)(75.6M)(54.3M)(51.6M)
Gross Profit Margin0.210.20.13(0.16)(0.21)(0.2)

About Ballard Power Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ballard Power Systems's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ballard Power using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ballard Power Systems based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Ballard Power

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ballard Power position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ballard Power will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Ballard Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ballard Power could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ballard Power when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ballard Power - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ballard Power Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Ballard Power is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ballard Power moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ballard Power Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ballard Power can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Ballard Stock Analysis

When running Ballard Power's price analysis, check to measure Ballard Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ballard Power is operating at the current time. Most of Ballard Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ballard Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ballard Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ballard Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.